Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Solana Sierra v Kamilla Rakhimova

Kickoff: 2026-03-19 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Solana Sierra (Local)

Prediction 33.27%3.01fair odd
EV +0.148%
Edge +0.049%
Kelly +0.074%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.82%33.35%33.33%35.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.842.853.0138.17%35.26%35.09%33.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kamilla Rakhimova (Visit)

Prediction 66.73%1.50fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -1.77%
Kelly -5.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.53%66.65%66.67%68.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.421.431.4672.99%70.40%69.93%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Solana Sierra (Local): 33.27%; Kamilla Rakhimova (Visit): 66.73%. For Solana Sierra (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.006. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.010, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.148%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 32.36%EV +0.148%E +0.049%K +0.074%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.64%EV -3.91%E -2.72%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-19 21:29
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.184%E -0.061%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 21:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.85%E -0.626%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.58%E -3.20%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 21:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.85%E -0.626%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.58%E -3.20%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 21:30
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -1.85%E -0.626%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.25%E -3.69%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 21:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -1.85%E -0.626%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -7.25%E -5.21%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 21:50
Coolbet🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -2.51%E -0.858%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -5.91%E -4.19%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.51%E -1.21%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.24%E -2.24%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 21:30
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.51%E -1.21%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.58%E -3.20%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 21:50
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.18%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.91%E -2.72%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 21:30
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.18%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 21:29
DraftKings🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.94%EV -4.51%E -1.57%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.06%EV -5.91%E -4.19%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.51%E -1.57%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 21:30
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.51%E -1.57%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 21:30
SportsBet🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.47%EV -4.51%E -1.57%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.53%EV -7.92%E -5.74%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 21:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.31%EV -4.51%E -1.57%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.69%EV -8.58%E -6.26%K -23.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.91%E -2.72%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 21:30
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.58%E -3.20%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 21:30
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.58%E -3.20%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 21:29
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.58%E -3.20%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 21:49
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.58%E -3.20%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 21:50
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.58%E -3.20%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 21:55
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.58%E -3.20%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 21:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.58%E -3.20%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 21:55
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.58%E -3.20%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.58%E -3.20%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 21:54
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.58%E -3.20%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 21:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.58%E -3.20%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 21:54
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.58%E -3.20%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 21:55
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.58%E -3.20%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 21:55
ReBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.58%E -3.20%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 21:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.58%E -3.20%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 21:55
Bally Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.58%E -3.20%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 21:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.58%E -3.20%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 21:54
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.58%E -3.20%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 21:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.58%E -3.20%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 21:54
theScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.25%E -3.69%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 21:55
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.18%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 21:55
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.84%E -2.44%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.25%E -3.69%K -12.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 21:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.84%E -2.44%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.25%E -3.69%K -12.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 21:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.84%E -2.44%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.91%E -4.19%K -14.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 21:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.84%E -2.44%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.91%E -4.19%K -14.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 21:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.84%E -2.44%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 21:29
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.84%E -2.44%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 21:30
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.84%E -2.44%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.84%E -2.44%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 21:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.84%E -2.44%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 21:55
Fliff🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.84%E -2.44%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 21:54
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -7.84%E -2.83%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -2.58%E -1.77%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 21:50
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.50%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.91%E -2.72%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 21:30
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.50%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.91%E -2.72%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 21:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.50%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.25%E -3.69%K -12.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 21:30
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.50%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.25%E -3.69%K -12.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 21:45
Everygame🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.50%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 21:30
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.50%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 21:53
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -12.83%E -4.90%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.91%E -2.72%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 21:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -12.83%E -4.90%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.91%E -2.72%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 21:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -12.83%E -4.90%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.91%E -2.72%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 21:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig3.04I 32.89%NM 32.74%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.26%0.5%2026-03-19 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-03-19 21:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-03-19 21:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-03-19 21:30
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-03-19 21:30
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%2.3%2026-03-19 21:55