Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shuai Zhang v Sorana Cirstea

Início: 2026-03-17 22:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shuai Zhang (Local)

Previsão 26.12%3.83odd justa
EV -0.465%
Vantagem -0.122%
Kelly -0.165%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.00%26.30%26.10%28.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.623.653.8130.30%27.64%27.40%26.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sorana Cirstea (Visitante)

Previsão 73.88%1.35odd justa
EV -2.48%
Vantagem -1.88%
Kelly -7.76%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.73%73.70%73.90%75.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.241.281.281.3280.65%77.93%78.13%75.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Shuai Zhang (Local): 26.12%; Sorana Cirstea (Visitante): 73.88%. Para Shuai Zhang (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.83. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.81, com valor esperado de -0.465%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.81I 26.25%NM 25.44%EV -0.465%E -0.122%K -0.165%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.56%EV -3.96%E -3.05%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-17 22:40
Coolbet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -0.726%E -0.191%K -0.259%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.96%E -3.05%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-17 22:39
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.03%E -0.542%K -0.739%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.70%E -3.64%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 22:40
FanDuel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.03%E -0.542%K -0.739%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.70%E -3.64%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 22:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.03%E -0.542%K -0.739%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.70%E -3.64%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 22:40
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.03%E -0.542%K -0.739%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.66%E -6.12%K -30.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 22:40
1xBet🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -2.29%E -0.613%K -0.837%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 22:40
Fanatics🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.70%E -3.64%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-17 22:40
LeoVegas🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 22:40
BetRivers🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 22:40
Casumo🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 22:40
Grosvenor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 22:40
TABtouch🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 22:40
Bet Right🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 22:40
Unibet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 22:40
Bally Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 22:40
betPARX🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 22:40
SportsBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.66%E -6.12%K -30.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 22:40
PMU (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.66%E -6.12%K -30.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -3.86%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -3.96%E -3.05%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -3.86%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -3.96%E -3.05%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 22:40
ReBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.70%E -3.64%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 22:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 22:40
NordicBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.18%E -4.86%K -22.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 22:40
Betsson🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.18%E -4.86%K -22.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -2.48%E -1.88%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-17 22:40
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.22%E -2.46%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 22:35
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.70%E -3.64%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 22:39
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.70%E -3.64%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 22:29
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.70%E -3.64%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.70%E -3.64%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 22:34
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.70%E -3.64%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 22:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.70%E -3.64%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 22:34
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.70%E -3.64%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 22:34
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.18%E -4.86%K -22.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.18%E -4.86%K -22.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 22:40
Caesars🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.92%E -5.49%K -26.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 22:40
GTbets🎯3.59I 27.86%NM 26.43%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.57%EV -4.70%E -3.64%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 22:39
Marathon Bet🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -6.47%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -4.70%E -3.64%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 22:34
Unibet (FR)🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.04%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.88%EV -3.22%E -2.46%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 22:39
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 22:40
TAB🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 22:40
Everygame🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.66%E -6.12%K -30.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 22:39
Fliff🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -8.39%E -6.77%K -34.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 22:40
DraftKings🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -9.09%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.65%EV -3.22%E -2.46%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 22:40
PlayUp🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -9.87%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.96%E -3.05%K -13.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.87%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 22:40
Neds🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.87%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.96%E -3.05%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 22:40
theScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.48%E -3.73%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.48%E -1.88%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 22:40
NetBet (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -12.48%E -3.73%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 72.98%EV -8.39%E -6.77%K -34.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-17 22:33
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.79%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.96%E -3.05%K -13.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 22:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%1.3%2026-03-17 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%1.3%2026-03-17 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%1.3%2026-03-17 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%1.3%2026-03-17 22:40
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%1.3%2026-03-17 22:40
ProphetX3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24%2.2%2026-03-17 22:40
Novig3.77I 26.53%NM 25.79%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.21%2.9%2026-03-17 22:40