La escuela de los momios

Shuai Zhang v Sorana Cirstea

Inicio: 2026-03-17 22:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Shuai Zhang (Local)

Predicción 26.12%3.83momio equitativo
EV -0.465%
Ventaja -0.122%
Kelly -0.165%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.00%26.30%26.10%28.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.623.653.8130.30%27.64%27.40%26.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sorana Cirstea (Visitante)

Predicción 73.88%1.35momio equitativo
EV -2.48%
Ventaja -1.88%
Kelly -7.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.73%73.70%73.90%75.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.241.281.281.3280.65%77.93%78.13%75.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.81I 26.25%NM 25.44%EV -0.465%E -0.122%K -0.165%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.56%EV -3.96%E -3.05%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-17 22:40
Coolbet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -0.726%E -0.191%K -0.259%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.96%E -3.05%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-17 22:39
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.03%E -0.542%K -0.739%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.70%E -3.64%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 22:40
FanDuel3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.03%E -0.542%K -0.739%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.70%E -3.64%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 22:40
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.03%E -0.542%K -0.739%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.70%E -3.64%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 22:40
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.03%E -0.542%K -0.739%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.66%E -6.12%K -30.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 22:40
1xBet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -2.29%E -0.613%K -0.837%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 22:40
Fanatics3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.70%E -3.64%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-17 22:40
LeoVegas3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 22:40
BetRivers3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 22:40
Casumo3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 22:40
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 22:40
Unibet (NL)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 22:40
TABtouch3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 22:40
Bet Right3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 22:40
Unibet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 22:40
Unibet (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 22:40
Bally Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 22:40
betPARX3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 22:40
ATG (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 22:40
Svenska Spel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 22:40
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.66%E -6.12%K -30.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 22:40
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.34%E -0.902%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.66%E -6.12%K -30.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 22:40
LowVig.ag3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -3.86%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -3.96%E -3.05%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 22:40
BetOnline.ag3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -3.86%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -3.96%E -3.05%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 22:40
ReBet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.70%E -3.64%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 22:34
PointsBet (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 22:40
NordicBet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.18%E -4.86%K -22.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 22:40
Betsson3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.18%E -4.86%K -22.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 22:40
Winamax (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -2.48%E -1.88%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-17 22:40
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.22%E -2.46%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 22:35
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.70%E -3.64%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 22:39
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.70%E -3.64%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 22:29
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.70%E -3.64%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 22:40
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.70%E -3.64%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 22:34
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.70%E -3.64%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 22:40
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.70%E -3.64%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 22:34
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.70%E -3.64%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 22:34
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 22:40
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.18%E -4.86%K -22.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 22:40
LiveScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.18%E -4.86%K -22.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 22:40
Caesars3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.92%E -5.49%K -26.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 22:40
GTbets3.59I 27.86%NM 26.43%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.57%EV -4.70%E -3.64%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 22:39
Marathon Bet3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -6.47%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -4.70%E -3.64%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 22:34
Unibet (FR)3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.04%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.88%EV -3.22%E -2.46%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 22:39
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 22:40
TAB3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 22:40
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.66%E -6.12%K -30.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 22:39
Fliff3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -8.39%E -6.77%K -34.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 22:40
DraftKings3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -9.09%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.65%EV -3.22%E -2.46%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 22:40
PlayUp3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -9.87%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.96%E -3.05%K -13.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.87%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 22:40
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.87%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 22:40
Winamax (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.96%E -3.05%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 22:40
theScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.48%E -3.73%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.48%E -1.88%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 22:40
NetBet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -12.48%E -3.73%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 72.98%EV -8.39%E -6.77%K -34.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-17 22:33
Parions Sport (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.79%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.96%E -3.05%K -13.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 22:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%1.3%2026-03-17 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%1.3%2026-03-17 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%1.3%2026-03-17 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%1.3%2026-03-17 22:40
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%1.3%2026-03-17 22:40
ProphetX3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24%2.2%2026-03-17 22:40
Novig3.77I 26.53%NM 25.79%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.21%2.9%2026-03-17 22:40