Language:English
Renata Zarazua v Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Renata Zarazua (Local)
Prediction 31.69%3.16fair odd
EV +4.59%
Edge +1.39%
Kelly +1.99%
Growth +0.092%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.73%31.81%31.19%36.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.582.902.923.3038.76%34.51%34.25%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Visit)
Prediction 68.31%1.46fair odd
EV +4.51%
Edge +2.95%
Kelly +8.51%
Growth +0.384%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.40%68.19%68.81%71.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.391.371.5376.92%72.06%72.99%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Renata Zarazua (Local): 31.69%; Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Visit): 68.31%. For Renata Zarazua (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.16. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.59%.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -16.01%E -6.04%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV +4.51%E +2.95%K +8.51%G +0.384% | 3.1% | 2026-03-17 15:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -14.43%E -5.34%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV +0.411%E +0.279%K +0.874%G +0.004% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 14:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -16.96%E -6.47%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -0.955%E -0.659%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 15:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -16.96%E -6.47%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -1.64%E -1.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 15:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -17.60%E -6.77%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -1.64%E -1.14%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -7.46%E -2.55%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -2.32%E -1.62%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 15:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -7.46%E -2.55%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -2.32%E -1.62%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 15:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95%EV -7.77%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.05%EV -2.32%E -1.62%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-17 15:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.66%EV -18.23%E -7.07%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.34%EV -2.32%E -1.62%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 14:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.26%E -4.02%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.00%E -2.12%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 15:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.26%E -4.02%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.37%E -3.12%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 15:13 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.37%E -3.12%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 14:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -14.43%E -5.34%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -4.37%E -3.12%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-17 15:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -17.60%E -6.77%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.16%EV -5.05%E -3.64%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-17 14:56 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -0.166%E -0.053%K -0.077%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -6.42%E -4.69%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -11.26%E -4.02%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -6.42%E -4.69%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +1.42%E +0.443%K +0.645%G +0.009% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -7.10%E -5.22%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-17 15:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.10%E -5.22%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.10%E -5.22%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.10%E -5.22%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.10%E -5.22%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.10%E -5.22%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.79%E -5.77%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.79%E -5.77%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.50%E -2.20%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.79%E -5.77%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -9.67%E -3.39%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -7.79%E -5.77%K -22.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +4.59%E +1.39%K +1.99%G +0.092% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -9.15%E -6.88%K -27.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -1.75%E -0.565%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -9.15%E -6.88%K -27.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV +1.42%E +0.443%K +0.645%G +0.009% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -10.52%E -8.03%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +1.42%E +0.443%K +0.645%G +0.009% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -11.20%E -8.62%K -37.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68% | 1.8% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02% | 2.1% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Novig◎ | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.31% | 3.1% | 2026-03-17 15:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13% | 4.9% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |