Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Reese Brantmeier v Yue Yuan

Kickoff: 2026-03-16 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

14%

86%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Reese Brantmeier (Local)

Prediction 14.34%6.97fair odd

EV +3.97%

Edge +0.547%

Kelly +0.635%

Growth +0.025%

assuming max odds 7.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

12.97%14.57%14.08%18.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.006.276.057.2520.00%15.96%16.53%13.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yue Yuan (Visit)

Prediction 85.66%1.17fair odd

EV -2.35%

Edge -2.06%

Kelly -16.77%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

81.43%85.43%85.92%87.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.071.111.121.1493.46%90.18%89.29%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Reese Brantmeier (Local): 14.34%; Yue Yuan (Visit): 85.66%. For Reese Brantmeier (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.97. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.97%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
theScore Bet🎯	7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV +3.97%E +0.547%K +0.635%G +0.025%	1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -7.49%E -6.93%K -93.60%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-16 14:15
Pinnacle🎯	7.13I 14.03%NM 13.58%EV +2.25%E +0.315%K +0.367%G +0.008%	1.12I 89.29%NM 86.42%EV -4.06%E -3.63%K -33.84%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-03-16 12:35
Betway🎯	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.383%E +0.055%K +0.064%G +0.000%	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.77%E -5.25%K -57.75%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-16 14:10
LowVig.ag🎯	6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV -1.62%E -0.237%K -0.277%G +0.000%	1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -4.06%E -3.63%K -33.84%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-03-16 13:05
BetOnline.ag🎯	6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV -1.62%E -0.237%K -0.277%G +0.000%	1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -4.06%E -3.63%K -33.84%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-03-16 13:05
William Hill🎯	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.79%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%	1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.77%E -5.25%K -57.75%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-15 19:59
Betsson🎯	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -6.79%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 85.87%EV -8.34%E -7.80%K -119.20%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-03-16 14:14
GTbets🎯	6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -12.52%E -2.05%K -2.46%G +0.000%	1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -3.20%E -2.84%K -24.65%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-03-15 22:04
Fliff🎯	6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -12.52%E -2.05%K -2.46%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 84.96%EV -7.49%E -6.93%K -93.60%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-03-16 14:15
Coral🎯	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.96%E -2.33%K -2.79%G +0.000%	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.06%E -3.63%K -33.84%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-16 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.96%E -2.33%K -2.79%G +0.000%	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.06%E -3.63%K -33.84%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-16 14:15
PlayUp🎯	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.96%E -2.33%K -2.79%G +0.000%	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.06%E -3.63%K -33.84%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-16 03:54
BoyleSports🎯	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.96%E -2.33%K -2.79%G +0.000%	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.06%E -3.63%K -33.84%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-16 14:15
888sport🎯	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -13.96%E -2.33%K -2.79%G +0.000%	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.92%E -4.43%K -44.71%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-16 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -13.96%E -2.33%K -2.79%G +0.000%	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.92%E -4.43%K -44.71%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-16 14:10
NordicBet🎯	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -13.96%E -2.33%K -2.79%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -7.49%E -6.93%K -93.60%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-03-16 14:15
Bet Victor🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -21.13%E -3.84%K -4.69%G +0.000%	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.06%E -3.63%K -33.84%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-03-15 23:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -28.30%E -5.66%K -7.07%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -2.35%E -2.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-03-16 14:14

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets◎	6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%	1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%	2.9%	2026-03-16 14:15