默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Magda Linette v Iga Swiatek

开赛时间: 2026-03-19 22:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

54 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Magda Linette (主队)

预测 5.17%19.35公平赔率
EV +153.24%
优势 +3.13%
Kelly +3.19%
增长率 +4.89%

假设最高赔率为 49.00

博彩公司预测分布
2.02%5.14%5.28%9.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
10.0017.7615.0049.0010.00%5.63%6.67%2.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

Iga Swiatek (客队)

预测 94.83%1.05公平赔率
EV -1.37%
优势 -1.32%
Kelly -34.37%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.04

博彩公司预测分布
90.66%94.86%94.72%97.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.001.011.011.04100.00%98.61%99.01%96.15%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Magda Linette (主队):5.17%;Iga Swiatek (客队):94.83%。 对于“Magda Linette (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为19.35。 当时有13家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为49.00,对应+153.24%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (54 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
FanDuel🎯49.00I 2.04%NM 2.02%EV +153.24%E +3.13%K +3.19%G +4.89%1.01I 99.01%NM 97.98%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%1.1%2026-03-19 22:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +111.90%E +2.73%K +2.80%G +3.13%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -5.17%E -5.17%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-19 22:20
Paddy Power🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +75.72%E +2.23%K +2.29%G +1.74%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.17%E -5.17%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 22:19
Coral🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +75.72%E +2.23%K +2.29%G +1.74%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.17%E -5.17%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 22:20
BetMGM🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +49.88%E +1.72%K +1.78%G +0.888%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-19 22:19
Bovada🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +49.88%E +1.72%K +1.78%G +0.888%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.17%E -5.17%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 22:19
Winamax (FR)🎯27.00I 3.70%NM 3.64%EV +39.54%E +1.46%K +1.52%G +0.601%1.02I 98.04%NM 96.36%EV -3.27%E -3.21%K -163.58%G +0.000%1.7%2026-03-19 22:20
Winamax (DE)🎯27.00I 3.70%NM 3.61%EV +39.54%E +1.46%K +1.52%G +0.601%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.39%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-19 22:20
theScore Bet🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +34.37%E +1.32%K +1.37%G +0.473%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 22:20
DraftKings🎯24.00I 4.17%NM 4.08%EV +24.04%E +1.00%K +1.05%G +0.251%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.92%EV -3.27%E -3.21%K -163.58%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-19 22:20
BoyleSports🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +8.53%E +0.406%K +0.427%G +0.036%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -3.27%E -3.21%K -163.58%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-19 22:20
Fanatics🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +8.53%E +0.406%K +0.427%G +0.036%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.17%E -5.17%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 22:19
Betway🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +8.53%E +0.406%K +0.427%G +0.036%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.17%E -5.17%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 22:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -1.80%E -0.095%K -0.100%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -5.17%E -5.17%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 22:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯18.50I 5.41%NM 5.18%EV -4.39%E -0.237%K -0.251%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.82%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 22:17
Unibet (SE)🎯18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -6.97%E -0.387%K -0.410%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 22:17
Pinnacle🎯17.68I 5.66%NM 5.56%EV -8.63%E -0.488%K -0.517%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 94.44%EV -1.37%E -1.32%K -34.37%G +0.000%1.8%2026-03-19 21:30
Coolbet🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -12.14%E -0.714%K -0.759%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 22:15
888sport🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -12.14%E -0.714%K -0.759%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 22:20
888sport (SE)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -12.14%E -0.714%K -0.759%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 22:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -12.14%E -0.714%K -0.759%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 22:20
LowVig.ag🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -17.31%E -1.08%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.27%E -3.21%K -163.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 21:30
BetOnline.ag🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -17.31%E -1.08%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.27%E -3.21%K -163.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 21:30
Betsson🎯15.50I 6.45%NM 6.12%EV -19.89%E -1.28%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.88%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 22:19
Unibet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -22.48%E -1.50%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.27%E -3.21%K -163.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 22:14
Unibet (NL)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -22.48%E -1.50%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.27%E -3.21%K -163.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 22:14
Svenska Spel🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -22.48%E -1.50%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.27%E -3.21%K -163.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 22:14
betPARX🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -22.48%E -1.50%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.27%E -3.21%K -163.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 22:15
ATG (SE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -22.48%E -1.50%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.27%E -3.21%K -163.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 22:14
Caesars🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -22.48%E -1.50%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 22:19
1xBet🎯14.80I 6.76%NM 6.45%EV -23.51%E -1.59%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.55%EV -3.27%E -3.21%K -163.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 22:05
NordicBet🎯13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -30.23%E -2.24%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 22:20
Bet Right🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -32.81%E -2.52%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -2.32%E -2.26%K -77.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 22:00
TABtouch🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -32.81%E -2.52%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.27%E -3.21%K -163.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 22:14
Casumo🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -32.81%E -2.52%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.27%E -3.21%K -163.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 22:14
LiveScore Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -32.81%E -2.52%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 22:15
BetRivers🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -32.81%E -2.52%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 22:15
Grosvenor🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -32.81%E -2.52%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 22:14
Virgin Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -32.81%E -2.52%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 22:15
Bally Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -32.81%E -2.52%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 22:14
Bet Victor🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -32.81%E -2.52%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 92.86%EV -5.17%E -5.17%K +0.000%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 22:19
Fliff🎯12.55I 7.97%NM 7.45%EV -35.14%E -2.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.55%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 22:09
Betr (AU)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -35.40%E -2.83%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -3.27%E -3.21%K -163.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 22:00
Neds🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -35.40%E -2.83%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -35.40%E -2.83%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 21:30
NetBet (FR)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.41%EV -35.40%E -2.83%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 92.59%EV -5.17%E -5.17%K +0.000%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 22:00
GTbets🎯12.20I 8.20%NM 7.79%EV -36.95%E -3.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.21%EV -2.32%E -2.26%K -77.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 22:00
PMU (FR)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -37.98%E -3.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -3.27%E -3.21%K -163.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 22:11
Unibet (FR)🎯11.80I 8.47%NM 8.03%EV -39.02%E -3.31%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.97%EV -2.32%E -2.26%K -77.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 21:50
William Hill🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -43.15%E -3.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -1.37%E -1.32%K -34.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 21:29
PlayUp🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -43.15%E -3.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -2.32%E -2.26%K -77.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 21:30
LeoVegas🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -43.15%E -3.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 22:11
LeoVegas (SE)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -45.73%E -4.36%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 22:11
SportsBet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -48.32%E -4.83%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -2.32%E -2.26%K -77.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 21:30
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)28.00I 3.57%NM 3.55%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.45%0.7%2026-03-19 22:20
Smarkets27.03I 3.70%NM 3.67%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33%0.8%2026-03-19 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33%0.8%2026-03-19 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19%0.9%2026-03-19 22:20
Matchbook24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12%1.03I 97.09%NM 95.88%1.3%2026-03-19 22:20
ProphetX21.00I 4.76%NM 4.68%1.03I 97.09%NM 95.32%1.8%2026-03-19 22:20
Novig22.73I 4.40%NM 4.21%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.79%4.4%2026-03-19 22:20