Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Magda Linette v Iga Swiatek

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-19 22:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Magda Linette (Local)

Prévision 5.17%19.35cote équitable
EV +153.24%
Avantage +3.13%
Kelly +3.19%
Croissance +4.89%

avec la cote maximale 49.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
2.02%5.14%5.28%9.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
10.0017.7615.0049.0010.00%5.63%6.67%2.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Iga Swiatek (Visiteur)

Prévision 94.83%1.05cote équitable
EV -1.37%
Avantage -1.32%
Kelly -34.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
90.66%94.86%94.72%97.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.001.011.011.04100.00%98.61%99.01%96.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Magda Linette (Local) : 5.17% ; Iga Swiatek (Visiteur) : 94.83%. Pour Magda Linette (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 19.35. 13 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 49.00, soit une espérance positive de +153.24%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯49.00I 2.04%NM 2.02%EV +153.24%E +3.13%K +3.19%G +4.89%1.01I 99.01%NM 97.98%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%1.1%2026-03-19 22:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +111.90%E +2.73%K +2.80%G +3.13%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -5.17%E -5.17%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-19 22:20
Paddy Power🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +75.72%E +2.23%K +2.29%G +1.74%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.17%E -5.17%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 22:19
Coral🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +75.72%E +2.23%K +2.29%G +1.74%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.17%E -5.17%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 22:20
BetMGM🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +49.88%E +1.72%K +1.78%G +0.888%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-19 22:19
Bovada🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +49.88%E +1.72%K +1.78%G +0.888%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.17%E -5.17%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 22:19
Winamax (FR)🎯27.00I 3.70%NM 3.64%EV +39.54%E +1.46%K +1.52%G +0.601%1.02I 98.04%NM 96.36%EV -3.27%E -3.21%K -163.58%G +0.000%1.7%2026-03-19 22:20
Winamax (DE)🎯27.00I 3.70%NM 3.61%EV +39.54%E +1.46%K +1.52%G +0.601%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.39%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-19 22:20
theScore Bet🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +34.37%E +1.32%K +1.37%G +0.473%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 22:20
DraftKings🎯24.00I 4.17%NM 4.08%EV +24.04%E +1.00%K +1.05%G +0.251%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.92%EV -3.27%E -3.21%K -163.58%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-19 22:20
BoyleSports🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +8.53%E +0.406%K +0.427%G +0.036%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -3.27%E -3.21%K -163.58%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-19 22:20
Fanatics🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +8.53%E +0.406%K +0.427%G +0.036%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.17%E -5.17%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 22:19
Betway🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +8.53%E +0.406%K +0.427%G +0.036%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.17%E -5.17%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 22:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -1.80%E -0.095%K -0.100%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -5.17%E -5.17%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 22:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯18.50I 5.41%NM 5.18%EV -4.39%E -0.237%K -0.251%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.82%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 22:17
Unibet (SE)🎯18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -6.97%E -0.387%K -0.410%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 22:17
Pinnacle🎯17.68I 5.66%NM 5.56%EV -8.63%E -0.488%K -0.517%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 94.44%EV -1.37%E -1.32%K -34.37%G +0.000%1.8%2026-03-19 21:30
Coolbet🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -12.14%E -0.714%K -0.759%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 22:15
888sport🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -12.14%E -0.714%K -0.759%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 22:20
888sport (SE)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -12.14%E -0.714%K -0.759%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 22:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -12.14%E -0.714%K -0.759%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 22:20
LowVig.ag🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -17.31%E -1.08%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.27%E -3.21%K -163.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 21:30
BetOnline.ag🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -17.31%E -1.08%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.27%E -3.21%K -163.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 21:30
Betsson🎯15.50I 6.45%NM 6.12%EV -19.89%E -1.28%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.88%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 22:19
Unibet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -22.48%E -1.50%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.27%E -3.21%K -163.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 22:14
Unibet (NL)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -22.48%E -1.50%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.27%E -3.21%K -163.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 22:14
Svenska Spel🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -22.48%E -1.50%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.27%E -3.21%K -163.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 22:14
betPARX🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -22.48%E -1.50%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.27%E -3.21%K -163.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 22:15
ATG (SE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -22.48%E -1.50%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.27%E -3.21%K -163.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 22:14
Caesars🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -22.48%E -1.50%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 22:19
1xBet🎯14.80I 6.76%NM 6.45%EV -23.51%E -1.59%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.55%EV -3.27%E -3.21%K -163.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 22:05
NordicBet🎯13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -30.23%E -2.24%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 22:20
Bet Right🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -32.81%E -2.52%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -2.32%E -2.26%K -77.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 22:00
TABtouch🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -32.81%E -2.52%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.27%E -3.21%K -163.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 22:14
Casumo🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -32.81%E -2.52%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.27%E -3.21%K -163.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 22:14
LiveScore Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -32.81%E -2.52%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 22:15
BetRivers🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -32.81%E -2.52%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 22:15
Grosvenor🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -32.81%E -2.52%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 22:14
Virgin Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -32.81%E -2.52%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 22:15
Bally Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -32.81%E -2.52%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 22:14
Bet Victor🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -32.81%E -2.52%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 92.86%EV -5.17%E -5.17%K +0.000%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 22:19
Fliff🎯12.55I 7.97%NM 7.45%EV -35.14%E -2.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.55%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 22:09
Betr (AU)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -35.40%E -2.83%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -3.27%E -3.21%K -163.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 22:00
Neds🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -35.40%E -2.83%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -35.40%E -2.83%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 21:30
NetBet (FR)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.41%EV -35.40%E -2.83%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 92.59%EV -5.17%E -5.17%K +0.000%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 22:00
GTbets🎯12.20I 8.20%NM 7.79%EV -36.95%E -3.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.21%EV -2.32%E -2.26%K -77.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 22:00
PMU (FR)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -37.98%E -3.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -3.27%E -3.21%K -163.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 22:11
Unibet (FR)🎯11.80I 8.47%NM 8.03%EV -39.02%E -3.31%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.97%EV -2.32%E -2.26%K -77.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 21:50
William Hill🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -43.15%E -3.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -1.37%E -1.32%K -34.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 21:29
PlayUp🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -43.15%E -3.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -2.32%E -2.26%K -77.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 21:30
LeoVegas🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -43.15%E -3.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 22:11
LeoVegas (SE)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -45.73%E -4.36%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -4.22%E -4.18%K -421.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 22:11
SportsBet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -48.32%E -4.83%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -2.32%E -2.26%K -77.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 21:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)28.00I 3.57%NM 3.55%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.45%0.7%2026-03-19 22:20
Smarkets27.03I 3.70%NM 3.67%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33%0.8%2026-03-19 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33%0.8%2026-03-19 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19%0.9%2026-03-19 22:20
Matchbook24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12%1.03I 97.09%NM 95.88%1.3%2026-03-19 22:20
ProphetX21.00I 4.76%NM 4.68%1.03I 97.09%NM 95.32%1.8%2026-03-19 22:20
Novig22.73I 4.40%NM 4.21%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.79%4.4%2026-03-19 22:20