Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Madison Brengle v Linda Fruhvirtova

Kickoff: 2026-03-16 14:14 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Madison Brengle (Local)

Prediction 33.57%2.98fair odd
EV +7.41%
Edge +2.32%
Kelly +3.37%
Growth +0.250%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.67%33.24%34.08%36.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.812.763.2038.46%35.62%36.23%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Linda Fruhvirtova (Visit)

Prediction 66.43%1.51fair odd
EV -1.68%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -3.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.73%66.76%65.92%70.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.411.421.4874.07%70.80%70.42%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Madison Brengle (Local): 33.57%; Linda Fruhvirtova (Visit): 66.43%. For Madison Brengle (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.98. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.41%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +7.41%E +2.32%K +3.37%G +0.250%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -10.31%E -7.64%K -29.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 14:10
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.699%E +0.233%K +0.350%G +0.002%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.65%E -7.10%K -26.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-16 14:10
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.699%E +0.233%K +0.350%G +0.002%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.65%E -7.10%K -26.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-16 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.699%E +0.233%K +0.350%G +0.002%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.65%E -7.10%K -26.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-16 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.699%E +0.233%K +0.350%G +0.002%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.65%E -7.10%K -26.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-16 14:10
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -2.66%E -0.916%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -10.31%E -7.64%K -29.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 14:10
GTbets🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -5.34%E -1.89%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-16 14:03
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.99%E -5.00%K -17.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-16 14:08
Pinnacle🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -7.36%E -2.67%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -1.68%E -1.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-16 04:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -2.34%E -1.59%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 20:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -2.34%E -1.59%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 20:15
Fliff🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -7.66%E -5.51%K -19.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-16 14:10
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -12.06%E -4.60%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 20:15
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -12.06%E -4.60%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-16 13:55
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -12.73%E -4.90%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -1.68%E -1.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-16 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -12.73%E -4.90%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-16 14:10
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -12.73%E -4.90%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-16 14:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-03-16 14:10