The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Maddison Inglis v Yuliia Starodubtseva

Kickoff: 2026-03-16 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maddison Inglis (Local)

Prediction 41.35%2.42fair odd
EV +1.31%
Edge +0.535%
Kelly +0.903%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.66%41.45%41.10%43.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.282.252.4546.51%43.79%44.44%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yuliia Starodubtseva (Visit)

Prediction 58.65%1.71fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -3.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.28%58.55%58.90%60.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.601.601.6764.52%62.64%62.50%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maddison Inglis (Local): 41.35%; Yuliia Starodubtseva (Visit): 58.65%. For Maddison Inglis (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.42. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.31%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +1.31%E +0.535%K +0.903%G +0.012%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -5.57%E -3.46%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-16 15:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +1.31%E +0.535%K +0.903%G +0.012%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -5.57%E -3.46%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-16 15:00
Pinnacle🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -1.17%E -0.490%K -0.843%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -5.57%E -3.46%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-16 15:00
GTbets🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.48%E -1.94%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.99%E -3.08%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 15:00
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.16%E -3.85%K -10.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-16 15:00
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.89%E -2.13%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.09%E -5.87%K -16.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 15:00
NordicBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 40.99%EV -6.55%E -2.90%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.01%EV -7.92%E -5.05%K -13.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-16 15:00
Betsson🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 40.99%EV -6.55%E -2.90%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.01%EV -7.92%E -5.05%K -13.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-16 15:00
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.96%E -3.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.23%E -1.96%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-16 15:00
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.96%E -3.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.16%E -3.85%K -10.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-16 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.96%E -3.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.16%E -3.85%K -10.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-16 15:00
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.96%E -3.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.92%E -5.05%K -13.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-16 15:00
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.96%E -3.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.92%E -5.05%K -13.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-16 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.96%E -3.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.92%E -5.05%K -13.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-16 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.96%E -3.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.92%E -5.05%K -13.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-16 15:00
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.03%E -4.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.16%E -3.85%K -10.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 15:00
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -11.10%E -5.16%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.06%E -1.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-16 15:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%3.0%2026-03-16 15:39