Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lulu Sun v Taylor Townsend

Kickoff: 2026-03-19 22:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lulu Sun (Local)

Prediction 40.35%2.48fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -1.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.93%40.33%40.38%42.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.352.382.4144.44%42.61%42.02%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Taylor Townsend (Visit)

Prediction 59.65%1.68fair odd
EV -0.378%
Edge -0.226%
Kelly -0.563%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.40%59.67%59.62%61.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.581.601.6765.36%63.09%62.70%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lulu Sun (Local): 40.35%; Taylor Townsend (Visit): 59.65%. For Taylor Townsend (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.67, with an expected value of -0.378%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.29%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -6.94%E -4.45%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 22:25
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.17%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.76%E -1.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 12:30
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.17%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.76%E -1.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 21:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.17%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.36%E -2.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 22:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.17%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.36%E -2.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 22:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.17%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-18 20:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.17%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.55%E -2.85%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 11:00
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.17%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.75%E -3.64%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 22:14
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.17%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 22:25
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.17%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 10:19
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -3.17%E -1.32%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.73%E -5.71%K -16.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 10:42
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.55%E -2.85%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-18 20:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.55%E -2.85%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-18 20:35
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.55%E -2.85%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-18 20:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.55%E -2.85%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-18 20:35
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.55%E -2.85%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-18 20:35
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.55%E -2.85%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-18 20:35
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.55%E -2.85%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-18 20:40
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.55%E -2.85%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-18 20:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.55%E -2.85%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-18 20:35
Bally Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.55%E -2.85%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-18 20:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.55%E -2.85%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-18 20:35
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.55%E -2.85%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-18 20:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.55%E -2.85%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-18 20:35
ReBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.15%E -3.24%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 21:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.75%E -3.64%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 22:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.75%E -3.64%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 14:44
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-18 16:29
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.73%E -5.71%K -16.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 22:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.73%E -5.71%K -16.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 22:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.98%E -1.67%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.73%E -5.71%K -16.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 22:24
GTbets🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.38%E -1.85%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.55%E -2.85%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 22:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -4.78%E -2.03%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 22:24
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.19%E -2.21%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 16:30
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.19%E -2.21%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 16:20
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.19%E -2.21%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.96%E -2.46%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 19:30
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.19%E -2.21%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.15%E -3.24%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 16:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.19%E -2.21%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.75%E -3.64%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 22:14
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.19%E -2.21%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -8.13%E -5.28%K -15.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 22:25
Bet Right🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.59%E -2.39%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.55%E -2.85%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 21:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.40%E -2.76%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 22:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.40%E -2.76%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 22:24
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.55%E -2.85%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 22:24
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.55%E -2.85%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 22:24
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.55%E -2.85%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 16:19
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.55%E -2.85%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 22:20
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 22:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 22:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.94%E -4.45%K -12.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 13:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.54%E -4.86%K -13.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 16:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.73%E -5.71%K -16.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 22:24
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.20%E -3.13%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.73%E -5.71%K -16.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 22:25
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -0.378%E -0.226%K -0.563%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 22:24
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.55%E -2.85%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 22:25
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.75%E -3.64%K -9.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-18 13:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.75%E -3.64%K -9.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-18 13:54
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 05:20
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-18 13:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-18 13:54
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.22%E -4.10%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-18 16:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%0.2%2026-03-19 22:25
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-03-19 22:25
ProphetX2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-03-19 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-03-19 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-03-19 22:10
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%1.7%2026-03-19 22:25
Novig2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%2.2%2026-03-19 22:25