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Lulu Sun v Donna Vekic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Lulu Sun (Local)
Prediction 46.39%2.16fair odd
EV +2.98%
Edge +1.34%
Kelly +2.45%
Growth +0.073%
assuming max odds 2.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.97%46.79%46.95%53.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.732.032.052.2257.80%49.26%48.78%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Donna Vekic (Visit)
Prediction 53.61%1.87fair odd
EV +7.22%
Edge +3.61%
Kelly +7.22%
Growth +0.521%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%53.21%53.05%57.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.741.732.0061.73%57.47%57.80%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lulu Sun (Local): 46.39%; Donna Vekic (Visit): 53.61%. For Donna Vekic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.87. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.22%.
Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -19.75%E -11.41%K -27.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +7.22%E +3.61%K +7.22%G +0.521% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -15.11%E -8.26%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +2.40%E +1.25%K +2.63%G +0.063% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.54%E -4.89%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.50%E -1.95%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 17:03 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.54%E -4.89%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.50%E -1.95%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.54%E -4.89%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.50%E -1.95%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.54%E -4.89%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.50%E -1.95%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 17:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -11.40%E -5.97%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -3.50%E -1.95%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -11.40%E -5.97%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -3.50%E -1.95%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -11.86%E -6.24%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -3.50%E -1.95%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -11.86%E -6.24%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -3.50%E -1.95%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -11.86%E -6.24%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -3.50%E -1.95%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.22%E -3.61%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.11%E -2.89%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.90%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.18%E -3.53%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -11.40%E -5.97%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -6.72%E -3.86%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.22%E -3.61%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.25%E -4.19%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV +2.98%E +1.34%K +2.45%G +0.073% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -8.86%E -5.21%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV +2.98%E +1.34%K +2.45%G +0.073% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -8.86%E -5.21%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-17 17:02 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV +2.98%E +1.34%K +2.45%G +0.073% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -8.86%E -5.21%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-17 17:03 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.90%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.86%E -5.21%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV +1.59%E +0.727%K +1.34%G +0.021% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -9.40%E -5.56%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-17 16:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +1.13%E +0.518%K +0.957%G +0.011% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.93%E -5.91%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 16:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -0.262%E -0.122%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -9.93%E -5.91%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 17:02 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.58%E -1.23%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.47%E -6.27%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 16:56 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -0.726%E -0.339%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -11.01%E -6.63%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 17:01 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -2.58%E -1.23%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -11.01%E -6.63%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 16:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -0.262%E -0.122%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -11.54%E -7.00%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 16:57 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.58%EV -2.12%E -1.00%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%EV -12.61%E -7.74%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 16:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -0.262%E -0.122%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -13.15%E -8.12%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-17 16:57 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -4.90%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -13.15%E -8.12%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-17 16:57 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86% | 1.7% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.04% | 9.2% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |