The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Lucrezia Stefanini v Diane Parry

Kickoff: 2026-03-16 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lucrezia Stefanini (Local)

Prediction 30.39%3.29fair odd
EV +6.35%
Edge +1.82%
Kelly +2.54%
Growth +0.161%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.93%30.42%30.02%32.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.143.153.5034.48%31.86%31.75%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Diane Parry (Visit)

Prediction 69.61%1.44fair odd
EV -3.93%
Edge -2.85%
Kelly -10.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.76%69.58%69.98%73.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.341.351.3877.52%74.38%74.35%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lucrezia Stefanini (Local): 30.39%; Diane Parry (Visit): 69.61%. For Lucrezia Stefanini (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.29. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.35%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +6.35%E +1.82%K +2.54%G +0.161%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -10.20%E -7.91%K -35.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-16 20:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV +0.883%E +0.266%K +0.381%G +0.003%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -6.72%E -5.01%K -19.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-16 20:35
BetOnline.ag🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV +0.883%E +0.266%K +0.381%G +0.003%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -6.72%E -5.01%K -19.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-16 20:35
Pinnacle🎯3.31I 30.21%NM 29.12%EV +0.579%E +0.175%K +0.251%G +0.001%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.88%EV -5.33%E -3.92%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-16 20:10
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.24%E -0.383%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.41%E -5.57%K -22.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-16 20:35
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.76%E -0.863%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.02%E -4.46%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 20:10
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.76%E -0.863%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.41%E -5.57%K -22.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-16 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.76%E -0.863%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.41%E -5.57%K -22.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-16 20:35
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.80%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.41%E -5.57%K -22.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-16 20:10
GTbets🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 30.70%EV -6.71%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.30%EV -5.33%E -3.92%K -14.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-16 20:30
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.33%E -3.92%K -14.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-16 20:10
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.33%E -3.92%K -14.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-16 20:10
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.33%E -3.92%K -14.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-16 20:10
Fliff🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.36%E -3.51%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -7.41%E -5.57%K -22.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-16 20:35
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.88%E -4.10%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-16 20:35
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.88%E -4.10%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.33%E -3.92%K -14.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 20:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%8.4%2026-03-16 20:35