Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lola Radivojevic v Sinja Kraus

Kickoff: 2026-03-16 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lola Radivojevic (Local)

Prediction 46.95%2.13fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -3.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%46.85%47.03%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.951.992.002.0651.28%50.15%50.00%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sinja Kraus (Visit)

Prediction 53.05%1.89fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -3.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%53.15%52.97%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.761.751.8358.82%56.77%57.14%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lola Radivojevic (Local): 46.95%; Sinja Kraus (Visit): 53.05%. For Sinja Kraus (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.83, with an expected value of -2.93%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.27%E -1.59%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.99%E -2.20%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-16 21:10
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.74%E -1.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.70%E -4.43%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-16 22:05
GTbets🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.68%E -2.31%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.05%E -2.82%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-16 21:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.93%E -1.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-16 21:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.93%E -1.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-16 21:10
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.52%E -2.51%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-16 21:10
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.52%E -2.51%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-16 22:00
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.58%E -3.13%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-16 21:10
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.23%E -4.76%K -11.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 21:09
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.23%E -4.76%K -11.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 21:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.23%E -4.76%K -11.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 21:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.23%E -4.76%K -11.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 21:10
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.82%E -5.78%K -14.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-16 22:04
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.09%E -3.05%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.82%E -5.78%K -14.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-16 22:04
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -8.44%E -4.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.11%E -3.45%K -7.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 22:00
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.44%E -4.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.17%E -4.10%K -9.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-16 22:00
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.44%E -4.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.17%E -4.10%K -9.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-16 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.44%E -4.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.17%E -4.10%K -9.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-16 21:10
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.44%E -4.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.17%E -4.10%K -9.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-16 21:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 50.00%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.00%11.7%2026-03-16 22:05