La scuola delle quote

Kimberly Birrell v Yue Yuan

Inizio: 2026-03-17 16:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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30 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Kimberly Birrell (Casa)

Previsione 54.36%1.84quota equa
EV +5.99%
Vantaggio +3.07%
Kelly +6.31%
Crescita +0.378%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.68%54.56%54.23%59.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.691.711.9565.36%59.01%58.65%51.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Yue Yuan (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.64%2.19quota equa
EV +9.55%
Vantaggio +3.98%
Kelly +6.82%
Crescita +0.651%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.25%45.44%45.77%51.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.832.112.102.4054.64%47.32%47.62%41.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -11.94%E -7.37%K -19.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +9.55%E +3.98%K +6.82%G +0.651%3.4%2026-03-17 15:05
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -11.94%E -7.37%K -19.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +9.55%E +3.98%K +6.82%G +0.651%3.4%2026-03-17 15:05
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -12.49%E -7.76%K -20.47%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV +9.09%E +3.80%K +6.54%G +0.594%4.0%2026-03-17 15:05
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -12.49%E -7.76%K -20.47%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV +6.35%E +2.73%K +4.77%G +0.303%5.0%2026-03-17 14:59
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -13.03%E -8.14%K -21.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +4.98%E +2.17%K +3.83%G +0.191%6.0%2026-03-17 15:13
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -10.31%E -6.25%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV +4.07%E +1.78%K +3.18%G +0.129%4.5%2026-03-17 15:05
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -14.12%E -8.94%K -24.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV +4.07%E +1.78%K +3.18%G +0.129%7.2%2026-03-17 15:05
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -14.12%E -8.94%K -24.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV +2.70%E +1.20%K +2.16%G +0.058%7.7%2026-03-17 15:13
Parions Sport (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -14.66%E -9.34%K -25.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV +2.70%E +1.20%K +2.16%G +0.058%8.1%2026-03-17 15:00
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -15.20%E -9.75%K -27.15%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.05%EV +2.24%E +1.00%K +1.81%G +0.041%8.7%2026-03-17 14:59
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -11.94%E -7.37%K -19.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +0.417%E +0.189%K +0.347%G +0.001%7.2%2026-03-17 15:05
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -16.84%E -11.00%K -31.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV +0.417%E +0.189%K +0.347%G +0.001%10.8%2026-03-17 14:56
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.05%E -4.12%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.87%E -0.868%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 15:14
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -11.94%E -7.37%K -19.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -1.87%E -0.868%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 14:59
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.05%E -4.12%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 15:15
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 15:15
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.25%E -1.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.97%E -2.90%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 15:15
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 15:13
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.05%E -4.12%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 15:15
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.42%E -3.12%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.71%E -4.36%K -8.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 15:15
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.71%E -4.36%K -8.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 15:15
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.71%E -4.36%K -8.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 15:15
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.71%E -4.36%K -8.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 15:15
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -0.529%E -0.289%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.82%E -6.71%K -14.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 15:15
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -0.529%E -0.289%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.82%E -6.71%K -14.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 15:15
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.16%E -1.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.82%E -6.71%K -14.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 15:15
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -5.42%E -3.12%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -12.82%E -6.71%K -14.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 15:15
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -2.16%E -1.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -13.28%E -6.99%K -14.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 15:15
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +5.99%E +3.07%K +6.31%G +0.378%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -15.56%E -8.41%K -18.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +3.82%E +2.00%K +4.20%G +0.160%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -16.47%E -9.00%K -19.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 15:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-03-17 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-03-17 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.7%2026-03-17 15:15
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.7%2026-03-17 15:15
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%3.4%2026-03-17 15:14