La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Kimberly Birrell v Yue Yuan
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Kimberly Birrell (Local)
Predicción 54.36%1.84momio equitativo
EV +5.99%
Ventaja +3.07%
Kelly +6.31%
Crecimiento +0.378%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.68%54.56%54.23%59.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.691.711.9565.36%59.01%58.65%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Yue Yuan (Visitante)
Predicción 45.64%2.19momio equitativo
EV +9.55%
Ventaja +3.98%
Kelly +6.82%
Crecimiento +0.651%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.25%45.44%45.77%51.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.832.112.102.4054.64%47.32%47.62%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (30 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -11.94%E -7.37%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +9.55%E +3.98%K +6.82%G +0.651% | 3.4% | 2026-03-17 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -11.94%E -7.37%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +9.55%E +3.98%K +6.82%G +0.651% | 3.4% | 2026-03-17 15:05 |
| GTbets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -12.49%E -7.76%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV +9.09%E +3.80%K +6.54%G +0.594% | 4.0% | 2026-03-17 15:05 |
| ReBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -12.49%E -7.76%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV +6.35%E +2.73%K +4.77%G +0.303% | 5.0% | 2026-03-17 14:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -13.03%E -8.14%K -21.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +4.98%E +2.17%K +3.83%G +0.191% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 15:13 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -10.31%E -6.25%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV +4.07%E +1.78%K +3.18%G +0.129% | 4.5% | 2026-03-17 15:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -14.12%E -8.94%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV +4.07%E +1.78%K +3.18%G +0.129% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 15:05 |
| TAB | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -14.12%E -8.94%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV +2.70%E +1.20%K +2.16%G +0.058% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 15:13 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -14.66%E -9.34%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV +2.70%E +1.20%K +2.16%G +0.058% | 8.1% | 2026-03-17 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -15.20%E -9.75%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.05%EV +2.24%E +1.00%K +1.81%G +0.041% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 14:59 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -11.94%E -7.37%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +0.417%E +0.189%K +0.347%G +0.001% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 15:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -16.84%E -11.00%K -31.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV +0.417%E +0.189%K +0.347%G +0.001% | 10.8% | 2026-03-17 14:56 |
| Bovada | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.05%E -4.12%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.87%E -0.868%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-17 15:14 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -11.94%E -7.37%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -1.87%E -0.868%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-17 14:59 |
| Caesars | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.05%E -4.12%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.25%E -1.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.97%E -2.90%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 15:13 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.05%E -4.12%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.42%E -3.12%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.71%E -4.36%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.71%E -4.36%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.71%E -4.36%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.71%E -4.36%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -0.529%E -0.289%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.82%E -6.71%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -0.529%E -0.289%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.82%E -6.71%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.16%E -1.20%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.82%E -6.71%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Fliff | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -5.42%E -3.12%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -12.82%E -6.71%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Betsson | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -2.16%E -1.20%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -13.28%E -6.99%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +5.99%E +3.07%K +6.31%G +0.378% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -15.56%E -8.41%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +3.82%E +2.00%K +4.20%G +0.160% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -16.47%E -9.00%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 0.4% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47% | 1.3% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72% | 1.7% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72% | 1.7% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Novig | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16% | 3.4% | 2026-03-17 15:14 |