The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Kimberly Birrell v Viktoriya Tomova

Kickoff: 2026-03-16 19:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kimberly Birrell (Local)

Prediction 75.17%1.33fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -7.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.79%75.03%75.12%77.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.261.261.3083.33%79.30%79.37%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Viktoriya Tomova (Visit)

Prediction 24.83%4.03fair odd
EV +5.51%
Edge +1.30%
Kelly +1.70%
Growth +0.093%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.02%24.97%24.88%29.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.693.754.2531.75%27.10%26.67%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kimberly Birrell (Local): 75.17%; Viktoriya Tomova (Visit): 24.83%. For Viktoriya Tomova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.03. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.51%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -9.79%E -8.16%K -48.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +5.51%E +1.30%K +1.70%G +0.093%6.9%2026-03-16 14:15
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.36%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.64%EV +1.04%E +0.256%K +0.340%G +0.004%3.9%2026-03-16 08:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.78%E -2.95%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -3.43%E -0.881%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-16 09:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.78%E -2.95%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -3.43%E -0.881%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-16 09:55
GTbets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.39%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.31%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.61%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 14:05
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.03%E -2.35%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-16 14:15
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-16 14:15
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-16 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-16 14:10
Fliff🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.29%E -6.79%K -37.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 14:15
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.29%E -6.79%K -37.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 14:15
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -8.29%E -6.79%K -37.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-16 14:15
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.78%E -2.95%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-16 14:10
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.03%E -2.35%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 19:05
Everygame🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 11:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -2.27%E -1.75%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -15.59%E -4.59%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-16 14:15
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -3.78%E -2.95%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -15.59%E -4.59%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-16 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -3.78%E -2.95%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -15.59%E -4.59%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-16 14:15
Betsson🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -2.27%E -1.75%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -21.80%E -6.92%K -10.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-16 14:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%6.3%2026-03-16 14:15