Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Katie Volynets v Priscilla Hon

Kickoff: 2026-03-16 14:12 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

69%

31%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Katie Volynets (Local)

Prediction 68.72%1.46fair odd

EV -0.353%

Edge -0.244%

Kelly -0.785%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

64.37%68.30%69.05%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.301.371.361.4576.92%72.99%73.53%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Priscilla Hon (Visit)

Prediction 31.28%3.20fair odd

EV +1.65%

Edge +0.509%

Kelly +0.735%

Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

28.57%31.70%30.95%35.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.622.973.003.2538.17%33.64%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Katie Volynets (Local): 68.72%; Priscilla Hon (Visit): 31.28%. For Priscilla Hon (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.20. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.65%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Coral🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -10.66%E -8.20%K -35.54%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV +1.65%E +0.509%K +0.735%G +0.012%	7.7%	2026-03-16 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -10.66%E -8.20%K -35.54%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV +1.65%E +0.509%K +0.735%G +0.012%	7.7%	2026-03-16 14:10
Betway🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.23%E -5.35%K -20.64%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.090%E +0.028%K +0.041%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-16 14:10
theScore Bet🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.60%E -6.47%K -26.06%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.04%E -0.980%K -1.45%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-03-16 14:10
888sport🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.54%E -4.81%K -18.16%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-16 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.54%E -4.81%K -18.16%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-16 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.54%E -4.81%K -18.16%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-16 14:10
BoyleSports🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.60%E -6.47%K -26.06%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-03-16 14:09
NordicBet🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -9.29%E -7.04%K -29.02%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-03-16 14:10
Betsson🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -9.29%E -7.04%K -29.02%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-03-16 14:09
Fliff🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -9.29%E -7.04%K -29.02%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.17%E -2.06%K -3.08%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-03-16 14:10
Pinnacle🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -1.73%E -1.21%K -4.02%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -7.73%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-03-16 03:35
PlayUp🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.79%E -2.71%K -9.47%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.29%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-16 14:06
LowVig.ag🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -1.73%E -1.21%K -4.02%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -9.92%E -3.44%K -5.28%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-15 20:15
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -1.73%E -1.21%K -4.02%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -9.92%E -3.44%K -5.28%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-15 20:15
GTbets🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -1.73%E -1.21%K -4.02%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -10.86%E -3.81%K -5.87%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-03-16 14:05
Bet Victor🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -0.353%E -0.244%K -0.785%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -18.05%E -6.89%K -11.14%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-16 14:08
William Hill🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -1.04%E -0.723%K -2.36%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -18.05%E -6.89%K -11.14%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-15 20:15

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets◎	1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%	3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%	1.4%	2026-03-16 14:10