Language:English
Katerina Siniakova v Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Katerina Siniakova (Local)
Prediction 52.62%1.90fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -3.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%52.70%52.63%54.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.801.811.8558.48%55.49%55.25%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Visit)
Prediction 47.38%2.11fair odd
EV -0.502%
Edge -0.239%
Kelly -0.456%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.17%47.30%47.37%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.991.982.1052.63%50.34%50.51%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Katerina Siniakova (Local): 52.62%; Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Visit): 47.38%. For Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -0.502%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -2.65%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -3.34%E -1.64%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-18 00:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.65%E -1.43%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.19%E -3.12%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-18 00:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.18%E -1.73%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -7.13%E -3.64%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-18 00:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.71%E -2.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-18 00:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.71%E -2.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-18 00:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.71%E -2.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-18 00:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.71%E -2.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-18 00:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.71%E -2.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.19%E -3.12%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-18 00:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.71%E -2.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.61%E -3.90%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-18 00:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.71%E -2.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.50%E -4.98%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-18 00:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.71%E -2.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.50%E -4.98%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-18 00:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -4.23%E -2.33%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -1.45%E -0.697%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-18 00:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.23%E -2.33%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.19%E -3.12%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-18 00:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.23%E -2.33%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.66%E -3.38%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-18 00:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.23%E -2.33%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.66%E -3.38%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-18 00:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.23%E -2.33%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.66%E -3.38%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-18 00:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.23%E -2.33%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.66%E -3.38%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-18 00:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.23%E -2.33%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.66%E -3.38%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-18 00:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.23%E -2.33%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.66%E -3.38%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-18 00:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.23%E -2.33%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.66%E -3.38%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-18 00:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.23%E -2.33%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.66%E -3.38%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-18 00:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.23%E -2.33%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.66%E -3.38%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-18 00:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.23%E -2.33%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.66%E -3.38%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-18 00:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.23%E -2.33%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.66%E -3.38%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-18 00:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.23%E -2.33%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.66%E -3.38%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-18 00:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.77%E -2.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-18 00:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -5.71%E -2.87%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-18 00:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.87%E -1.40%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-18 00:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -3.82%E -1.88%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-18 00:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.29%E -2.12%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-18 00:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-18 00:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-18 00:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-18 00:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-18 00:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-18 00:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.19%E -3.12%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-18 00:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -9.03%E -4.70%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-18 00:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -9.03%E -4.70%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-18 00:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.50%E -4.98%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-18 00:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.50%E -4.98%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-18 00:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.98%E -5.25%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-18 00:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.81%E -3.25%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -3.82%E -1.88%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-18 00:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -5.81%E -3.25%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -7.61%E -3.90%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-18 00:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -5.81%E -3.25%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -7.61%E -3.90%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-18 00:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -6.86%E -3.88%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -3.34%E -1.64%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-18 00:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.86%E -3.88%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-18 00:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -7.39%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-18 00:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -8.44%E -4.85%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -9.50%E -4.98%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-18 00:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.97%E -5.18%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.502%E -0.239%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-18 00:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.97%E -5.18%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.502%E -0.239%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-18 00:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.97%E -5.18%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.502%E -0.239%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-18 00:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.97%E -5.18%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.502%E -0.239%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-18 00:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.02%EV -10.02%E -5.86%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.98%EV -8.56%E -4.43%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-18 00:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 0.4% | 2026-03-18 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-03-18 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 0.8% | 2026-03-18 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 0.8% | 2026-03-18 00:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 0.8% | 2026-03-18 00:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36% | 2.3% | 2026-03-18 00:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72% | 2.6% | 2026-03-18 00:50 |