Language:English
Karolina Muchova v Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Karolina Muchova (Local)
Prediction 73.60%1.36fair odd
EV -3.58%
Edge -2.74%
Kelly -11.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.43%73.59%73.65%75.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.281.291.3180.65%77.83%77.52%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Visit)
Prediction 26.40%3.79fair odd
EV +1.64%
Edge +0.426%
Kelly +0.576%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.51%26.41%26.35%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.573.553.8530.77%28.01%28.17%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karolina Muchova (Local): 73.60%; Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Visit): 26.40%. For Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.79. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.64%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -8.00%E -6.40%K -32.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +1.64%E +0.426%K +0.576%G +0.009% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 20:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -8.00%E -6.40%K -32.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +1.64%E +0.426%K +0.576%G +0.009% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 20:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.66%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.34%EV +1.11%E +0.291%K +0.393%G +0.004% | 3.0% | 2026-03-20 20:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -8.74%E -7.05%K -36.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV +0.321%E +0.085%K +0.115%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 20:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.00%E -6.40%K -32.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -0.999%E -0.266%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.00%E -6.40%K -32.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -0.999%E -0.266%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.79%E -4.53%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.32%E -0.627%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 20:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.00%E -6.40%K -32.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.32%E -0.627%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 20:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.00%E -6.40%K -32.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.32%E -0.627%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.00%E -6.40%K -32.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.32%E -0.627%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -2.85%E -0.774%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 20:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -2.85%E -0.774%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 20:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.64%E -0.997%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.79%E -4.53%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -3.64%E -0.997%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -7.26%E -5.77%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -3.64%E -0.997%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 20:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -7.26%E -5.77%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -3.64%E -0.997%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 20:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.98%EV -5.79%E -4.53%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.02%EV -3.90%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 20:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.58%E -2.74%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-20 20:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 20:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.26%E -5.77%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 20:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 20:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 20:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 20:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 20:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 20:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 20:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.53%E -5.14%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-20 20:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -3.58%E -2.74%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -6.81%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 20:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.82%EV -3.58%E -2.74%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.18%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 20:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.58%E -2.74%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 19:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 19:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 19:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 19:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 19:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 19:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 20:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 20:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 19:58 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 20:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 20:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.79%E -4.53%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 20:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.53%E -5.14%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-20 20:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.00%E -6.40%K -32.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-20 20:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.92%E -2.59%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -8.92%E -2.59%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 20:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -8.92%E -2.59%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 20:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -8.00%E -6.40%K -32.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -8.92%E -2.59%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-20 20:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-20 20:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.53%E -5.14%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-20 20:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -3.58%E -2.74%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -12.88%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 20:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -14.20%E -4.37%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 20:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-03-20 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-03-20 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-03-20 20:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08% | 3.2% | 2026-03-20 20:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.77% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.23% | 4.2% | 2026-03-20 20:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 20:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 61.92% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 38.08% | 31.3% | 2026-03-20 20:30 |