Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.00
assuming max odds 1.74
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kamilla Rakhimova (Local): 39.84%; Talia Gibson (Visit): 60.16%. For Kamilla Rakhimova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +19.52%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +19.52%E +6.51%K +9.76%G +1.91% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -18.18%E -13.37%K -50.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 15:13 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +17.53%E +5.94%K +8.99%G +1.58% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -14.58%E -10.26%K -34.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-17 15:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +15.54%E +5.36%K +8.18%G +1.27% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -15.78%E -11.27%K -39.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV +15.54%E +5.36%K +8.18%G +1.27% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -18.79%E -13.92%K -53.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +4.39%E +1.67%K +2.71%G +0.119% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -13.37%E -9.29%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +4.39%E +1.67%K +2.71%G +0.119% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -13.37%E -9.29%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV +1.60%E +0.626%K +1.03%G +0.016% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -10.97%E -7.41%K -22.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.18%E -2.18%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.75%E -2.34%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.18%E -2.18%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.96%E -5.20%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 15:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.18%E -2.18%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.96%E -5.20%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.15%E -3.94%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.36%E -3.64%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.35%E -2.73%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.36%E -3.64%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.96%E -5.20%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.36%E -4.60%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.75%E -2.34%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.36%E -4.60%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.75%E -2.34%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -10.36%E -4.60%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -6.75%E -4.36%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -11.95%E -5.41%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -2.54%E -1.57%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 15:02 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -12.35%E -5.61%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV +2.87%E +1.68%K +4.04%G +0.116% | 3.9% | 2026-03-17 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -12.35%E -5.61%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV +2.87%E +1.68%K +4.04%G +0.116% | 3.9% | 2026-03-17 15:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -12.35%E -5.61%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV +1.07%E +0.635%K +1.57%G +0.017% | 5.0% | 2026-03-17 14:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.35%E -5.61%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.15%E -1.95%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -14.34%E -6.67%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -0.739%E -0.448%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 15:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -14.34%E -6.67%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -2.54%E -1.57%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-17 15:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -14.74%E -6.89%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV +4.68%E +2.69%K +6.32%G +0.295% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 15:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -14.74%E -6.89%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -3.15%E -1.95%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 14:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -16.33%E -7.78%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +3.47%E +2.02%K +4.82%G +0.167% | 5.8% | 2026-03-17 15:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -16.33%E -7.78%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +0.464%E +0.278%K +0.693%G +0.003% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 15:03 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -16.33%E -7.78%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -0.739%E -0.448%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-17 14:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -16.33%E -7.78%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -3.75%E -2.34%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-17 14:56 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -18.32%E -8.94%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV +1.07%E +0.635%K +1.57%G +0.017% | 8.3% | 2026-03-17 15:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 0.3% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63% | 1.2% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Novig◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13% | 1.7% | 2026-03-17 15:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.71% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.29% | 3.6% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |