Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kamilla Rakhimova v Leolia Jeanjean

Kickoff: 2026-03-16 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

73%

27%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kamilla Rakhimova (Local)

Prediction 72.99%1.37fair odd

EV +2.19%

Edge +1.56%

Kelly +5.47%

Growth +0.120%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

67.44%72.90%73.07%76.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.251.301.291.4080.00%76.79%77.52%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Leolia Jeanjean (Visit)

Prediction 27.01%3.70fair odd

EV +8.04%

Edge +2.01%

Kelly +2.68%

Growth +0.215%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

23.81%27.10%26.93%32.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.903.433.454.0034.48%29.15%28.99%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kamilla Rakhimova (Local): 72.99%; Leolia Jeanjean (Visit): 27.01%. For Leolia Jeanjean (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.70. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.04%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Betway🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -8.76%E -7.01%K -35.05%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +8.04%E +2.01%K +2.68%G +0.215%	5.0%	2026-03-16 14:15
Coral🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.76%E -7.01%K -35.05%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +2.64%E +0.694%K +0.941%G +0.025%	6.3%	2026-03-16 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.76%E -7.01%K -35.05%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +2.64%E +0.694%K +0.941%G +0.025%	6.3%	2026-03-16 14:15
BoyleSports🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.76%E -7.01%K -35.05%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +1.29%E +0.343%K +0.467%G +0.006%	6.7%	2026-03-16 14:15
theScore Bet🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.30%E -5.75%K -27.04%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -2.77%E -0.768%K -1.06%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-16 14:15
Bet Victor🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.84%E -4.53%K -20.15%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.47%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-16 14:15
888sport🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.84%E -4.53%K -20.15%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.47%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-16 14:15
888sport (SE)🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.84%E -4.53%K -20.15%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.47%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-16 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.84%E -4.53%K -20.15%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.47%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-16 14:15
NordicBet🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -8.76%E -7.01%K -35.05%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -8.17%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-03-16 14:15
Fliff🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.57%E -5.13%K -23.47%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.87%E -3.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-03-16 14:15
William Hill🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.92%E -2.20%K -8.86%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -12.22%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-15 19:59
Betsson🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -7.30%E -5.75%K -27.04%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -12.22%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-03-16 14:14
Pinnacle🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV +0.727%E +0.527%K +1.91%G +0.014%	3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -13.57%E -4.24%K -6.17%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-03-16 13:35
LowVig.ag🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -0.733%E -0.539%K -2.04%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -13.57%E -4.24%K -6.17%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-15 20:00
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -0.733%E -0.539%K -2.04%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -13.57%E -4.24%K -6.17%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-15 20:00
GTbets🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV +0.727%E +0.527%K +1.91%G +0.014%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -16.27%E -5.25%K -7.75%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-15 23:35
PlayUp🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +2.19%E +1.56%K +5.47%G +0.120%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -21.67%E -7.47%K -11.41%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-16 14:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets◎	1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%	4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%	0.8%	2026-03-16 14:15