La scuola delle quote

Jelena Ostapenko v Jasmine Paolini

Inizio: 2026-03-22 15:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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50 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Jelena Ostapenko (Casa)

Previsione 43.11%2.32quota equa
EV -0.844%
Vantaggio -0.367%
Kelly -0.649%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.78%43.11%43.15%44.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.202.202.3048.78%45.50%45.45%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jasmine Paolini (Trasferta)

Previsione 56.89%1.76quota equa
EV -2.15%
Vantaggio -1.25%
Kelly -2.99%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.72

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.11%56.89%56.85%58.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.671.671.7262.50%60.04%59.88%58.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.844%E -0.367%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 13:19
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.844%E -0.367%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 13:19
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -3.00%E -1.33%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.15%E -1.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-22 14:45
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -3.00%E -1.33%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.72%E -1.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-22 12:49
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.00%E -1.33%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.29%E -1.93%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-22 14:14
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.00%E -1.33%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.56%E -3.35%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 09:35
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.00%E -1.33%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.56%E -3.35%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 09:34
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.00%E -1.33%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.56%E -3.35%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 09:35
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.00%E -1.33%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.56%E -3.35%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 09:34
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.00%E -1.33%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.56%E -3.35%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 09:34
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.00%E -1.33%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.56%E -3.35%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 09:34
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.00%E -1.33%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.56%E -3.35%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 09:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.00%E -1.33%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.56%E -3.35%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 09:34
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.00%E -1.33%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.56%E -3.35%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 09:34
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.00%E -1.33%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 14:14
GTbets2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -3.86%E -1.73%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -8.98%E -5.61%K -14.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 12:20
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.29%E -1.93%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.43%E -2.64%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 14:55
Betsson2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.72%E -2.14%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 14:15
NordicBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.72%E -2.14%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 14:15
Unibet (FR)2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.72%E -2.14%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 14:14
Unibet (UK)2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.72%E -2.14%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 14:14
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -4.72%E -2.14%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -5.56%E -3.35%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 14:14
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.16%E -2.34%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.86%E -2.28%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 03:31
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.16%E -2.34%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.43%E -2.64%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 14:34
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.16%E -2.34%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 06:14
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.16%E -2.34%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 06:14
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.16%E -2.34%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 06:14
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.16%E -2.34%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 06:45
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.16%E -2.34%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 10:04
Caesars2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.16%E -2.34%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 14:55
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.16%E -2.34%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 13:19
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.16%E -2.34%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.56%E -3.35%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 08:15
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.16%E -2.34%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.27%E -4.46%K -11.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 09:34
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.16%E -2.34%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.27%E -4.46%K -11.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 09:34
Bet Right2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.02%E -2.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.43%E -2.64%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 14:00
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.02%E -2.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:34
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.31%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.43%E -2.64%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 14:55
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.31%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.43%E -2.64%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 03:24
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.31%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.31%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 11:00
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.31%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 11:05
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.31%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 00:20
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.31%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.70%E -4.09%K -10.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 20:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.31%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.70%E -4.09%K -10.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 20:34
FanDuel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -7.74%E -3.62%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -3.29%E -1.93%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 13:54
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.47%E -4.51%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 13:55
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.47%E -4.51%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 13:13
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.47%E -4.51%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 13:54
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.47%E -4.51%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.13%E -3.72%K -9.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 03:24
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -11.62%E -5.67%K -11.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 13:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%0.3%2026-03-22 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-03-22 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-03-22 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-03-22 14:54
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.1%2026-03-22 14:55