L’École des cotes

Eva Lys v Yuliia Starodubtseva

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-19 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Eva Lys (Local)

Prévision 9.60%10.41cote équitable
EV +274.48%
Avantage +7.04%
Kelly +7.22%
Croissance +19.83%

avec la cote maximale 39.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
2.52%17.16%9.50%57.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.6210.168.0039.0061.73%9.84%12.50%2.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Yuliia Starodubtseva (Visiteur)

Prévision 90.40%1.11cote équitable
EV +103.40%
Avantage +45.95%
Kelly +82.72%
Croissance +85.52%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.41%82.84%90.50%97.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.001.411.062.25100.00%71.08%94.34%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -83.77%E -49.57%K -121.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +103.40%E +45.95%K +82.72%G +85.52%3.6%2026-03-19 16:15
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -83.77%E -49.57%K -121.41%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV +102.49%E +45.76%K +82.65%G +84.71%3.8%2026-03-19 01:05
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -83.77%E -49.57%K -121.41%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV +102.49%E +45.76%K +82.65%G +84.71%3.8%2026-03-19 01:05
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -83.87%E -49.92%K -123.34%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV +100.68%E +45.35%K +82.53%G +83.09%4.6%2026-03-19 16:04
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -83.96%E -50.28%K -125.32%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV +99.78%E +45.15%K +82.46%G +82.28%5.1%2026-03-19 10:14
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -83.96%E -50.28%K -125.32%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV +99.78%E +45.15%K +82.46%G +82.28%5.1%2026-03-19 14:20
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -83.96%E -50.28%K -125.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +98.88%E +44.94%K +82.40%G +81.47%5.3%2026-03-19 16:10
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -83.96%E -50.28%K -125.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +98.88%E +44.94%K +82.40%G +81.47%5.3%2026-03-19 08:20
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -83.96%E -50.28%K -125.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +98.88%E +44.94%K +82.40%G +81.47%5.3%2026-03-19 04:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -84.35%E -51.75%K -133.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV +98.88%E +44.94%K +82.40%G +81.47%6.8%2026-03-19 15:00
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -84.44%E -52.13%K -136.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +98.88%E +44.94%K +82.40%G +81.47%7.2%2026-03-19 01:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -84.44%E -52.13%K -136.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +98.88%E +44.94%K +82.40%G +81.47%7.2%2026-03-19 01:05
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -84.44%E -52.13%K -136.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +98.88%E +44.94%K +82.40%G +81.47%7.2%2026-03-19 01:05
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -83.96%E -50.28%K -125.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV +97.07%E +44.53%K +82.26%G +79.85%5.8%2026-03-19 14:59
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -83.77%E -49.57%K -121.41%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV +96.16%E +44.32%K +82.19%G +79.04%5.3%2026-03-19 16:04
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -84.44%E -52.13%K -136.20%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV +96.16%E +44.32%K +82.19%G +79.04%7.8%2026-03-19 15:39
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -83.87%E -49.92%K -123.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +94.36%E +43.89%K +82.05%G +77.42%6.0%2026-03-19 14:04
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -84.44%E -52.13%K -136.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV +94.36%E +43.89%K +82.05%G +77.42%8.2%2026-03-19 15:30
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -83.68%E -49.22%K -119.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +85.32%E +41.62%K +81.25%G +69.32%7.6%2026-03-19 16:14
Pinnacle2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55%EV -73.88%E -27.16%K -42.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.45%EV +35.60%E +23.73%K +71.19%G +25.34%3.4%2026-03-19 17:30
Bovada6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -37.59%E -5.78%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV +1.25%E +1.11%K +10.38%G +0.129%4.7%2026-03-19 17:34
Unibet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -41.43%E -6.79%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV +1.25%E +1.11%K +10.38%G +0.129%5.7%2026-03-19 17:35
Hard Rock Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -42.39%E -7.06%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV +1.25%E +1.11%K +10.38%G +0.129%6.0%2026-03-19 17:34
Bet Victor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -32.79%E -4.68%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -2.37%E -2.19%K -29.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 17:33
Fliff6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -39.99%E -6.40%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.27%EV -2.37%E -2.19%K -29.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 17:35
Coolbet8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV -16.46%E -1.89%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -3.27%E -3.06%K -46.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -8.78%E -0.924%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.18%E -3.94%K -69.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 17:36
Casumo9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -13.58%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.18%E -3.94%K -69.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 17:35
Unibet (NL)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -13.58%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.18%E -3.94%K -69.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 17:35
betPARX9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -13.58%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.18%E -3.94%K -69.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 17:35
TABtouch8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -18.38%E -2.16%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.18%E -3.94%K -69.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 17:35
BetMGM8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -23.18%E -2.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.18%E -3.94%K -69.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 17:34
Mr Green (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -23.18%E -2.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.18%E -3.94%K -69.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 17:35
888sport (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -23.18%E -2.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.18%E -3.94%K -69.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 17:35
Caesars8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -23.18%E -2.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.18%E -3.94%K -69.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 17:35
Betway10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -3.98%E -0.398%K -0.442%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.08%E -4.84%K -101.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 17:35
Betsson9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -13.58%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.08%E -4.84%K -101.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 17:35
Grosvenor8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -23.18%E -2.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.08%E -4.84%K -101.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -27.98%E -3.73%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -5.08%E -4.84%K -101.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 17:34
888sport10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -3.98%E -0.398%K -0.442%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.99%E -5.76%K -149.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 17:35
DraftKings17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +63.23%E +3.72%K +3.95%G +2.50%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -6.89%E -6.69%K -229.67%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 17:35
BoyleSports15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +44.03%E +2.94%K +3.15%G +1.38%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -6.89%E -6.69%K -229.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 17:35
PointsBet (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +5.62%E +0.511%K +0.562%G +0.032%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.89%E -6.69%K -229.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 17:35
Unibet (SE)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +34.43%E +2.46%K +2.65%G +0.912%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -7.79%E -7.64%K -389.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 17:35
ATG (SE)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +34.43%E +2.46%K +2.65%G +0.912%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -7.79%E -7.64%K -389.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 17:35
Svenska Spel14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +34.43%E +2.46%K +2.65%G +0.912%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -7.79%E -7.64%K -389.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 17:35
Virgin Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +15.22%E +1.27%K +1.38%G +0.211%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -7.79%E -7.64%K -389.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 17:35
LiveScore Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +15.22%E +1.27%K +1.38%G +0.211%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -7.79%E -7.64%K -389.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 17:35
BetRivers12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +15.22%E +1.27%K +1.38%G +0.211%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -7.79%E -7.64%K -389.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 17:35
Bally Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +15.22%E +1.27%K +1.38%G +0.211%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -7.79%E -7.64%K -389.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 17:35
TAB11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +5.62%E +0.511%K +0.562%G +0.032%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -7.79%E -7.64%K -389.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 17:36
FanDuel39.00I 2.56%NM 2.52%EV +274.48%E +7.04%K +7.22%G +19.83%1.01I 99.01%NM 97.48%EV -8.70%E -8.61%K -869.80%G +0.000%1.6%2026-03-19 17:36
Winamax (FR)34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +226.47%E +6.66%K +6.86%G +15.54%1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -8.70%E -8.61%K -869.80%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-19 17:36
Winamax (DE)32.00I 3.13%NM 3.06%EV +207.26%E +6.48%K +6.69%G +13.86%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.94%EV -8.70%E -8.61%K -869.80%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-19 17:36
theScore Bet26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +149.65%E +5.76%K +5.99%G +8.96%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -8.70%E -8.61%K -869.80%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 17:36
NordicBet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +34.43%E +2.46%K +2.65%G +0.912%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -8.70%E -8.61%K -869.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 17:35
LeoVegas11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV +10.42%E +0.906%K +0.993%G +0.103%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -8.70%E -8.61%K -869.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 17:35
SportsBet34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +226.47%E +6.66%K +6.86%G +15.54%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -9.60%E -9.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 17:38
Paddy Power34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +226.47%E +6.66%K +6.86%G +15.54%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -9.60%E -9.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 17:35
Coral34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +226.47%E +6.66%K +6.86%G +15.54%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -9.60%E -9.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 17:36
Fanatics21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +101.64%E +4.84%K +5.08%G +5.17%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -9.60%E -9.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 17:36
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets54.95I 1.82%NM 1.80%1.01I 99.01%NM 98.20%0.8%2026-03-19 17:36
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%1.4%2026-03-19 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09%1.5%2026-03-19 17:30
ProphetX33.00I 3.03%NM 2.97%1.01I 99.01%NM 97.03%2.0%2026-03-19 17:36
Novig38.46I 2.60%NM 2.53%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.47%2.6%2026-03-19 17:36
Betfair Exchange (AU)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%3.6%2026-03-19 17:38
Matchbook11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%8.1%2026-03-19 17:35