Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Eva Lys v Yuliia Starodubtseva

Inicio: 2026-03-19 19:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Eva Lys (Local)

Predicción 9.60%10.41momio equitativo
EV +274.48%
Ventaja +7.04%
Kelly +7.22%
Crecimiento +19.83%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 39.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
2.52%17.16%9.50%57.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.6210.168.0039.0061.73%9.84%12.50%2.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Yuliia Starodubtseva (Visitante)

Predicción 90.40%1.11momio equitativo
EV +103.40%
Ventaja +45.95%
Kelly +82.72%
Crecimiento +85.52%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.41%82.84%90.50%97.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.001.411.062.25100.00%71.08%94.34%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Eva Lys (Local): 9.60%; Yuliia Starodubtseva (Visitante): 90.40%. Para Eva Lys (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 10.41. 21 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 39.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +274.48%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -83.77%E -49.57%K -121.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +103.40%E +45.95%K +82.72%G +85.52%3.6%2026-03-19 16:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -83.77%E -49.57%K -121.41%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV +102.49%E +45.76%K +82.65%G +84.71%3.8%2026-03-19 01:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -83.77%E -49.57%K -121.41%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV +102.49%E +45.76%K +82.65%G +84.71%3.8%2026-03-19 01:05
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -83.87%E -49.92%K -123.34%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV +100.68%E +45.35%K +82.53%G +83.09%4.6%2026-03-19 16:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -83.96%E -50.28%K -125.32%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV +99.78%E +45.15%K +82.46%G +82.28%5.1%2026-03-19 10:14
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -83.96%E -50.28%K -125.32%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV +99.78%E +45.15%K +82.46%G +82.28%5.1%2026-03-19 14:20
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -83.96%E -50.28%K -125.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +98.88%E +44.94%K +82.40%G +81.47%5.3%2026-03-19 16:10
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -83.96%E -50.28%K -125.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +98.88%E +44.94%K +82.40%G +81.47%5.3%2026-03-19 08:20
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -83.96%E -50.28%K -125.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +98.88%E +44.94%K +82.40%G +81.47%5.3%2026-03-19 04:35
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -84.35%E -51.75%K -133.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV +98.88%E +44.94%K +82.40%G +81.47%6.8%2026-03-19 15:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -84.44%E -52.13%K -136.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +98.88%E +44.94%K +82.40%G +81.47%7.2%2026-03-19 01:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -84.44%E -52.13%K -136.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +98.88%E +44.94%K +82.40%G +81.47%7.2%2026-03-19 01:05
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -84.44%E -52.13%K -136.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +98.88%E +44.94%K +82.40%G +81.47%7.2%2026-03-19 01:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -83.96%E -50.28%K -125.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV +97.07%E +44.53%K +82.26%G +79.85%5.8%2026-03-19 14:59
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -83.77%E -49.57%K -121.41%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV +96.16%E +44.32%K +82.19%G +79.04%5.3%2026-03-19 16:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -84.44%E -52.13%K -136.20%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV +96.16%E +44.32%K +82.19%G +79.04%7.8%2026-03-19 15:39
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -83.87%E -49.92%K -123.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +94.36%E +43.89%K +82.05%G +77.42%6.0%2026-03-19 14:04
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -84.44%E -52.13%K -136.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV +94.36%E +43.89%K +82.05%G +77.42%8.2%2026-03-19 15:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -83.68%E -49.22%K -119.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +85.32%E +41.62%K +81.25%G +69.32%7.6%2026-03-19 16:14
Pinnacle🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55%EV -73.88%E -27.16%K -42.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.45%EV +35.60%E +23.73%K +71.19%G +25.34%3.4%2026-03-19 17:30
Bovada🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -37.59%E -5.78%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV +1.25%E +1.11%K +10.38%G +0.129%4.7%2026-03-19 17:34
Unibet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -41.43%E -6.79%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV +1.25%E +1.11%K +10.38%G +0.129%5.7%2026-03-19 17:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -42.39%E -7.06%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV +1.25%E +1.11%K +10.38%G +0.129%6.0%2026-03-19 17:34
Bet Victor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -32.79%E -4.68%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -2.37%E -2.19%K -29.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 17:33
Fliff🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -39.99%E -6.40%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.27%EV -2.37%E -2.19%K -29.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 17:35
Coolbet🎯8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV -16.46%E -1.89%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -3.27%E -3.06%K -46.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -8.78%E -0.924%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.18%E -3.94%K -69.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 17:36
Casumo🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -13.58%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.18%E -3.94%K -69.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 17:35
Unibet (NL)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -13.58%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.18%E -3.94%K -69.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 17:35
betPARX🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -13.58%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.18%E -3.94%K -69.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 17:35
TABtouch🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -18.38%E -2.16%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.18%E -3.94%K -69.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 17:35
BetMGM🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -23.18%E -2.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.18%E -3.94%K -69.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 17:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -23.18%E -2.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.18%E -3.94%K -69.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 17:35
888sport (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -23.18%E -2.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.18%E -3.94%K -69.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 17:35
Caesars🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -23.18%E -2.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.18%E -3.94%K -69.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 17:35
Betway🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -3.98%E -0.398%K -0.442%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.08%E -4.84%K -101.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 17:35
Betsson🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -13.58%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.08%E -4.84%K -101.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 17:35
Grosvenor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -23.18%E -2.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.08%E -4.84%K -101.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -27.98%E -3.73%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -5.08%E -4.84%K -101.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 17:34
888sport🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -3.98%E -0.398%K -0.442%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.99%E -5.76%K -149.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 17:35
DraftKings🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +63.23%E +3.72%K +3.95%G +2.50%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -6.89%E -6.69%K -229.67%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 17:35
BoyleSports🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +44.03%E +2.94%K +3.15%G +1.38%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -6.89%E -6.69%K -229.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 17:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +5.62%E +0.511%K +0.562%G +0.032%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.89%E -6.69%K -229.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 17:35
Unibet (SE)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +34.43%E +2.46%K +2.65%G +0.912%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -7.79%E -7.64%K -389.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 17:35
ATG (SE)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +34.43%E +2.46%K +2.65%G +0.912%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -7.79%E -7.64%K -389.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 17:35
Svenska Spel🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +34.43%E +2.46%K +2.65%G +0.912%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -7.79%E -7.64%K -389.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 17:35
Virgin Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +15.22%E +1.27%K +1.38%G +0.211%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -7.79%E -7.64%K -389.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +15.22%E +1.27%K +1.38%G +0.211%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -7.79%E -7.64%K -389.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 17:35
BetRivers🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +15.22%E +1.27%K +1.38%G +0.211%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -7.79%E -7.64%K -389.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 17:35
Bally Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +15.22%E +1.27%K +1.38%G +0.211%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -7.79%E -7.64%K -389.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 17:35
TAB🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +5.62%E +0.511%K +0.562%G +0.032%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -7.79%E -7.64%K -389.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 17:36
FanDuel🎯39.00I 2.56%NM 2.52%EV +274.48%E +7.04%K +7.22%G +19.83%1.01I 99.01%NM 97.48%EV -8.70%E -8.61%K -869.80%G +0.000%1.6%2026-03-19 17:36
Winamax (FR)🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +226.47%E +6.66%K +6.86%G +15.54%1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -8.70%E -8.61%K -869.80%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-19 17:36
Winamax (DE)🎯32.00I 3.13%NM 3.06%EV +207.26%E +6.48%K +6.69%G +13.86%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.94%EV -8.70%E -8.61%K -869.80%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-19 17:36
theScore Bet🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +149.65%E +5.76%K +5.99%G +8.96%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -8.70%E -8.61%K -869.80%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 17:36
NordicBet🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +34.43%E +2.46%K +2.65%G +0.912%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -8.70%E -8.61%K -869.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 17:35
LeoVegas🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV +10.42%E +0.906%K +0.993%G +0.103%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -8.70%E -8.61%K -869.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 17:35
SportsBet🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +226.47%E +6.66%K +6.86%G +15.54%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -9.60%E -9.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 17:38
Paddy Power🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +226.47%E +6.66%K +6.86%G +15.54%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -9.60%E -9.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 17:35
Coral🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +226.47%E +6.66%K +6.86%G +15.54%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -9.60%E -9.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 17:36
Fanatics🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +101.64%E +4.84%K +5.08%G +5.17%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -9.60%E -9.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 17:36
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets54.95I 1.82%NM 1.80%1.01I 99.01%NM 98.20%0.8%2026-03-19 17:36
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%1.4%2026-03-19 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09%1.5%2026-03-19 17:30
ProphetX33.00I 3.03%NM 2.97%1.01I 99.01%NM 97.03%2.0%2026-03-19 17:36
Novig38.46I 2.60%NM 2.53%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.47%2.6%2026-03-19 17:36
Betfair Exchange (AU)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%3.6%2026-03-19 17:38
Matchbook11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%8.1%2026-03-19 17:35