The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Erika Andreeva v Rebecca Sramkova

Kickoff: 2026-03-16 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Erika Andreeva (Local)

Prediction 34.93%2.86fair odd
EV +10.37%
Edge +3.28%
Kelly +4.80%
Growth +0.498%

assuming max odds 3.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.40%34.61%35.09%40.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.672.623.1643.48%37.41%38.17%31.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rebecca Sramkova (Visit)

Prediction 65.07%1.54fair odd
EV +2.16%
Edge +1.38%
Kelly +3.80%
Growth +0.082%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.43%65.39%64.91%69.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.451.441.5772.46%68.99%69.44%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Erika Andreeva (Local): 34.93%; Rebecca Sramkova (Visit): 65.07%. For Erika Andreeva (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.86. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.16, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.37%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.40%EV +10.37%E +3.28%K +4.80%G +0.498%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.60%EV -10.20%E -7.39%K -26.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 16:10
LowVig.ag🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV +5.83%E +1.92%K +2.87%G +0.167%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -8.25%E -5.85%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 20:15
BetOnline.ag🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV +5.83%E +1.92%K +2.87%G +0.167%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -8.25%E -5.85%K -20.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 20:15
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +1.29%E +0.444%K +0.678%G +0.009%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 20:15
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.20%E -0.787%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-16 16:20
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.95%E -1.44%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.29%E -4.37%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-16 16:20
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.95%E -1.44%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 20:15
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.95%E -1.44%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.90%E -6.36%K -22.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.49%E -3.24%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.29%E -4.37%K -14.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-16 16:20
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.19%E -3.53%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-16 16:20
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.19%E -3.53%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-16 16:15
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.68%E -5.07%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.39%E -1.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-16 16:20
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -12.68%E -5.07%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -5.64%E -3.89%K -12.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-16 16:20
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -14.43%E -5.89%K -9.95%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -4.34%E -2.95%K -9.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-16 16:20
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -16.18%E -6.74%K -11.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -2.39%E -1.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-16 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -19.67%E -8.55%K -15.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV +2.16%E +1.38%K +3.80%G +0.082%7.2%2026-03-16 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -19.67%E -8.55%K -15.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV +2.16%E +1.38%K +3.80%G +0.082%7.2%2026-03-16 16:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.72I 36.76%NM 34.77%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.23%5.7%2026-03-16 16:20