L’École des cotes

Elvina Kalieva v Elise Mertens

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-20 21:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Elvina Kalieva (Local)

Prévision 18.49%5.41cote équitable
EV +10.93%
Avantage +1.82%
Kelly +2.19%
Croissance +0.239%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.73%18.59%18.51%21.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.335.145.206.0023.09%19.45%19.23%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Elise Mertens (Visiteur)

Prévision 81.51%1.23cote équitable
EV -2.19%
Avantage -1.82%
Kelly -10.93%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.30%81.41%81.49%84.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.111.151.161.2090.09%86.68%86.21%83.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +10.93%E +1.82%K +2.19%G +0.239%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -8.71%E -7.77%K -72.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 20:39
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +10.93%E +1.82%K +2.19%G +0.239%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -8.71%E -7.77%K -72.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 20:39
Pinnacle5.75I 17.39%NM 16.91%EV +6.31%E +1.10%K +1.33%G +0.084%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.09%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.24%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-20 20:30
ReBet5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +3.53%E +0.631%K +0.768%G +0.027%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -6.26%E -5.44%K -41.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 20:15
Bet Right5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.69%E +0.306%K +0.375%G +0.006%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.26%E -5.44%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:29
Unibet (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.69%E +0.306%K +0.375%G +0.006%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 20:20
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +1.69%E +0.306%K +0.375%G +0.006%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.89%E -6.98%K -60.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 20:39
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +1.69%E +0.306%K +0.375%G +0.006%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.71%E -7.77%K -72.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 20:35
BetOnline.ag5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV +0.391%E +0.072%K +0.088%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 20:14
LowVig.ag5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV +0.391%E +0.072%K +0.088%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 20:15
Unibet (NL)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -0.163%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 20:40
Casumo5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -0.163%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 20:40
betPARX5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -0.163%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 20:40
Svenska Spel5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -0.163%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 20:40
ATG (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -0.163%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 20:40
Betsson5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -0.163%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 20:40
NordicBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -0.163%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 20:40
NetBet (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -0.163%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -7.89%E -6.98%K -60.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 20:15
Fliff5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV -0.163%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.95%EV -9.52%E -8.58%K -86.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 20:40
GTbets5.33I 18.76%NM 17.87%EV -1.46%E -0.273%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.13%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 20:15
Parions Sport (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -2.01%E -0.380%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -6.26%E -5.44%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 20:20
Unibet5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.94%E -0.559%K -0.691%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:39
Unibet (SE)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.94%E -0.559%K -0.691%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:39
Betr (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.94%E -0.559%K -0.691%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.26%E -5.44%K -41.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 20:15
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.94%E -0.559%K -0.691%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.26%E -5.44%K -41.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 20:40
Hard Rock Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.94%E -0.559%K -0.691%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.26%E -5.44%K -41.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 20:40
TABtouch5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.86%E -0.743%K -0.919%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:40
SportsBet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -3.86%E -0.743%K -0.919%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 20:25
Winamax (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -3.86%E -0.743%K -0.919%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 20:40
DraftKings5.15I 19.42%NM 18.51%EV -4.79%E -0.929%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.49%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 20:40
LiveScore Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.71%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.26%E -5.44%K -41.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 20:40
Virgin Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.71%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.26%E -5.44%K -41.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 20:40
Bally Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.71%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.26%E -5.44%K -41.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 20:40
1xBet5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -6.63%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -3.82%E -3.23%K -21.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 20:20
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.82%E -3.23%K -21.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 20:40
BetUS5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 20:04
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 20:14
BetRivers5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 20:39
Ladbrokes (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 20:15
Neds5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 20:15
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.89%E -6.98%K -60.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.89%E -6.98%K -60.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 20:40
Winamax (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -9.41%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 20:39
Grosvenor4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -9.41%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.26%E -5.44%K -41.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 20:39
Fanatics4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -9.41%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 20:40
LeoVegas4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -9.41%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 20:39
PlayUp4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -10.33%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 20:33
Caesars4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -11.26%E -2.35%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 20:40
BoyleSports4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -11.26%E -2.35%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 20:40
PMU (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -13.11%E -2.79%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -6.26%E -5.44%K -41.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 20:30
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -14.95%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.82%E -3.23%K -21.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 20:40
TAB4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -14.95%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 20:40
BetMGM4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -16.80%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -3.82%E -3.23%K -21.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 20:39
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -16.80%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 20:40
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -16.80%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 20:40
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -16.80%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 20:40
Bet Victor4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -19.95%E -4.61%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -2.19%E -1.82%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 20:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%0.9%2026-03-20 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%0.9%2026-03-20 20:40
ProphetX5.95I 16.81%NM 16.55%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.45%1.6%2026-03-20 20:40
Novig6.85I 14.60%NM 14.37%1.15I 86.96%NM 85.63%1.6%2026-03-20 20:38
Matchbook5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09%2.0%2026-03-20 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%3.7%2026-03-20 20:40
Smarkets5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%6.5%2026-03-20 20:40