La escuela de los momios

Elvina Kalieva v Elise Mertens

Inicio: 2026-03-20 21:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Elvina Kalieva (Local)

Predicción 18.49%5.41momio equitativo
EV +10.93%
Ventaja +1.82%
Kelly +2.19%
Crecimiento +0.239%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.73%18.59%18.51%21.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.335.145.206.0023.09%19.45%19.23%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Elise Mertens (Visitante)

Predicción 81.51%1.23momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -1.82%
Kelly -10.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
78.30%81.41%81.49%84.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.111.151.161.2090.09%86.68%86.21%83.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
FanDuel6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +10.93%E +1.82%K +2.19%G +0.239%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -8.71%E -7.77%K -72.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 20:39
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +10.93%E +1.82%K +2.19%G +0.239%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -8.71%E -7.77%K -72.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 20:39
Pinnacle5.75I 17.39%NM 16.91%EV +6.31%E +1.10%K +1.33%G +0.084%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.09%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.24%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-20 20:30
ReBet5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +3.53%E +0.631%K +0.768%G +0.027%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -6.26%E -5.44%K -41.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 20:15
Bet Right5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.69%E +0.306%K +0.375%G +0.006%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.26%E -5.44%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:29
Unibet (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.69%E +0.306%K +0.375%G +0.006%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 20:20
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +1.69%E +0.306%K +0.375%G +0.006%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.89%E -6.98%K -60.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 20:39
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +1.69%E +0.306%K +0.375%G +0.006%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.71%E -7.77%K -72.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 20:35
BetOnline.ag5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV +0.391%E +0.072%K +0.088%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 20:14
LowVig.ag5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV +0.391%E +0.072%K +0.088%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 20:15
Unibet (NL)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -0.163%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 20:40
Casumo5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -0.163%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 20:40
betPARX5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -0.163%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 20:40
Svenska Spel5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -0.163%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 20:40
ATG (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -0.163%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 20:40
Betsson5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -0.163%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 20:40
NordicBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -0.163%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 20:40
NetBet (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -0.163%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -7.89%E -6.98%K -60.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 20:15
Fliff5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV -0.163%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.95%EV -9.52%E -8.58%K -86.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 20:40
GTbets5.33I 18.76%NM 17.87%EV -1.46%E -0.273%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.13%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 20:15
Parions Sport (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -2.01%E -0.380%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -6.26%E -5.44%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 20:20
Unibet5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.94%E -0.559%K -0.691%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:39
Unibet (SE)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.94%E -0.559%K -0.691%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:39
Betr (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.94%E -0.559%K -0.691%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.26%E -5.44%K -41.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 20:15
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.94%E -0.559%K -0.691%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.26%E -5.44%K -41.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 20:40
Hard Rock Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.94%E -0.559%K -0.691%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.26%E -5.44%K -41.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 20:40
TABtouch5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.86%E -0.743%K -0.919%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:40
SportsBet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -3.86%E -0.743%K -0.919%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 20:25
Winamax (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -3.86%E -0.743%K -0.919%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 20:40
DraftKings5.15I 19.42%NM 18.51%EV -4.79%E -0.929%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.49%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 20:40
LiveScore Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.71%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.26%E -5.44%K -41.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 20:40
Virgin Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.71%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.26%E -5.44%K -41.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 20:40
Bally Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.71%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.26%E -5.44%K -41.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 20:40
1xBet5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -6.63%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -3.82%E -3.23%K -21.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 20:20
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.82%E -3.23%K -21.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 20:40
BetUS5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 20:04
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 20:14
BetRivers5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 20:39
Ladbrokes (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 20:15
Neds5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 20:15
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.89%E -6.98%K -60.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -7.56%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.89%E -6.98%K -60.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 20:40
Winamax (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -9.41%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 20:39
Grosvenor4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -9.41%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.26%E -5.44%K -41.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 20:39
Fanatics4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -9.41%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 20:40
LeoVegas4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -9.41%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -7.08%E -6.21%K -50.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 20:39
PlayUp4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -10.33%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 20:33
Caesars4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -11.26%E -2.35%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 20:40
BoyleSports4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -11.26%E -2.35%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 20:40
PMU (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -13.11%E -2.79%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -6.26%E -5.44%K -41.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 20:30
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -14.95%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.82%E -3.23%K -21.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 20:40
TAB4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -14.95%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -5.45%E -4.70%K -34.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 20:40
BetMGM4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -16.80%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -3.82%E -3.23%K -21.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 20:39
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -16.80%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 20:40
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -16.80%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 20:40
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -16.80%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 20:40
Bet Victor4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -19.95%E -4.61%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -2.19%E -1.82%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 20:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%0.9%2026-03-20 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%0.9%2026-03-20 20:40
ProphetX5.95I 16.81%NM 16.55%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.45%1.6%2026-03-20 20:40
Novig6.85I 14.60%NM 14.37%1.15I 86.96%NM 85.63%1.6%2026-03-20 20:38
Matchbook5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09%2.0%2026-03-20 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%3.7%2026-03-20 20:40
Smarkets5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%6.5%2026-03-20 20:40