Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.25
assuming max odds 1.79
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ella Seidel (Local): 27.72%; Rebeka Masarova (Visit): 72.28%. For Rebeka Masarova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.38. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.79, corresponding to a positive expected value of +29.38%.
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -45.94%E -23.56%K -48.36%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV +29.38%E +16.41%K +37.18%G +10.92% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 16:36 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -42.06%E -20.12%K -38.59%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV +28.65%E +16.10%K +36.73%G +10.53% | 4.0% | 2026-03-17 16:36 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.06%EV -23.48%E -8.51%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.94%EV +7.69%E +5.16%K +15.70%G +1.21% | 3.3% | 2026-03-17 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -20.99%E -7.36%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -0.258%E -0.187%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 16:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -22.37%E -7.99%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -0.258%E -0.187%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-17 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -19.60%E -6.76%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -1.70%E -1.25%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-17 16:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.06%E -4.53%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.87%E -2.91%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 16:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.76%E -5.24%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 16:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.76%E -5.24%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 16:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -7.49%E -5.85%K -26.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-17 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -0.196%E -0.054%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.65%E -7.72%K -38.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 16:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +17.82%E +4.19%K +5.48%G +0.978% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -11.82%E -9.69%K -53.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-17 16:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +10.89%E +2.72%K +3.63%G +0.396% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -11.82%E -9.69%K -53.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 16:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +10.89%E +2.72%K +3.63%G +0.396% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -11.82%E -9.69%K -53.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +10.89%E +2.72%K +3.63%G +0.396% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -11.82%E -9.69%K -53.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +10.89%E +2.72%K +3.63%G +0.396% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -11.82%E -9.69%K -53.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV +3.96%E +1.06%K +1.44%G +0.057% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -11.82%E -9.69%K -53.74%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-17 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV +2.58%E +0.696%K +0.954%G +0.025% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -11.82%E -9.69%K -53.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 16:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -0.196%E -0.054%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -11.82%E -9.69%K -53.74%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-17 16:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-03-17 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-03-17 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-03-17 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-03-17 16:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.05% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.95% | 4.5% | 2026-03-17 16:55 |