L’École des cotes

Elina Svitolina v Emerson Jones

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-20 23:51 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Elina Svitolina (Local)

Prévision 86.19%1.16cote équitable
EV +56.87%
Avantage +31.25%
Kelly +69.36%
Croissance +39.44%

avec la cote maximale 1.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.68%84.31%86.42%88.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.051.111.101.8295.24%89.71%90.91%54.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Emerson Jones (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.81%7.24cote équitable
EV +18.74%
Avantage +2.18%
Kelly +2.47%
Croissance +0.462%

avec la cote maximale 8.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.16%15.69%13.58%49.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.876.756.708.6053.48%14.82%14.94%11.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
PointsBet (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.68%EV +56.87%E +31.25%K +69.36%G +39.44%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.32%EV -74.18%E -39.67%K -85.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 23:45
Marathon Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -0.878%E -0.763%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -25.44%E -4.71%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 23:44
GTbets1.14I 87.72%NM 85.35%EV -1.74%E -1.53%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.64I 15.06%NM 14.65%EV -8.32%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-20 23:42
Coolbet1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.86%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +0.100%E +0.014%K +0.016%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-20 23:42
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.86%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -9.01%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 23:44
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.86%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -9.01%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 23:45
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -10.26%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 23:45
LeoVegas1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.71%E -2.19%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 23:45
Casumo1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.71%E -2.19%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 23:45
Unibet (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.71%E -2.19%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 23:45
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.71%E -2.19%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.71%E -2.19%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 23:45
BetRivers1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.71%E -2.19%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 23:45
Grosvenor1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.71%E -2.19%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 23:45
TABtouch1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.71%E -2.19%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 23:45
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.71%E -2.19%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 23:45
Bally Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.71%E -2.19%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 23:45
betPARX1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.71%E -2.19%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 23:45
Svenska Spel1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.71%E -2.19%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 23:45
Hard Rock Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.71%E -2.19%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 23:45
William Hill1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -17.16%E -2.86%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 23:41
Pinnacle1.11I 90.09%NM 87.76%EV -4.33%E -3.90%K -39.32%G +0.000%7.96I 12.56%NM 12.24%EV +9.90%E +1.24%K +1.42%G +0.141%2.7%2026-03-20 23:45
DraftKings1.11I 90.09%NM 86.96%EV -4.33%E -3.90%K -39.32%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.04%EV +2.17%E +0.293%K +0.339%G +0.007%3.6%2026-03-20 23:45
Bet Right1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.33%E -3.90%K -39.32%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.80%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 23:42
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.33%E -3.90%K -39.32%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -10.95%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 23:42
LiveScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.33%E -3.90%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -19.92%E -3.43%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 23:45
Virgin Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.33%E -3.90%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -19.92%E -3.43%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 23:45
Winamax (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -5.19%E -4.72%K -51.88%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +10.45%E +1.31%K +1.49%G +0.156%3.4%2026-03-20 23:45
Bovada1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -5.19%E -4.72%K -51.88%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV +0.100%E +0.014%K +0.016%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 23:41
Fanatics1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.19%E -4.72%K -51.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 23:45
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.19%E -4.72%K -51.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 23:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.19%E -4.72%K -51.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 23:43
Neds1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.19%E -4.72%K -51.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 23:43
BetUS1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.19%E -4.72%K -51.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 23:45
Betr (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.19%E -4.72%K -51.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.26%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 23:42
Caesars1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.19%E -4.72%K -51.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.26%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 23:45
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.19%E -4.72%K -51.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.16%E -2.86%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 23:42
ReBet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -6.05%E -5.55%K -67.22%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV +2.17%E +0.293%K +0.339%G +0.007%5.3%2026-03-20 23:39
Winamax (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -6.05%E -5.55%K -67.22%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV +0.100%E +0.014%K +0.016%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 23:45
Betsson1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.05%E -5.55%K -67.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 23:45
NordicBet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.05%E -5.55%K -67.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 23:45
PlayUp1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.05%E -5.55%K -67.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 23:45
TAB1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.05%E -5.55%K -67.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -10.26%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 23:45
FanDuel1.08I 92.59%NM 88.84%EV -6.91%E -6.40%K -86.39%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.16%EV +18.74%E +2.18%K +2.47%G +0.462%4.2%2026-03-20 23:45
Paddy Power1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -6.91%E -6.40%K -86.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +17.36%E +2.04%K +2.31%G +0.402%4.4%2026-03-20 23:45
Coral1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.91%E -6.40%K -86.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +10.45%E +1.31%K +1.49%G +0.156%5.1%2026-03-20 23:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.91%E -6.40%K -86.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +10.45%E +1.31%K +1.49%G +0.156%5.1%2026-03-20 23:45
Unibet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.91%E -6.40%K -86.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +3.55%E +0.474%K +0.546%G +0.019%5.9%2026-03-20 23:44
NetBet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.91%E -6.40%K -86.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 23:43
Parions Sport (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.47%EV -6.91%E -6.40%K -86.39%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.53%EV -4.73%E -0.686%K -0.802%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 23:39
Everygame1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.91%E -6.40%K -86.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -10.26%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 23:39
BetMGM1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -7.77%E -7.26%K -111.05%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV +0.100%E +0.014%K +0.016%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 23:45
SportsBet1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.77%E -7.26%K -111.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 23:45
PMU (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -8.64%E -8.15%K -143.92%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +10.45%E +1.31%K +1.49%G +0.156%6.8%2026-03-20 23:45
888sport1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -8.64%E -8.15%K -143.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +3.55%E +0.474%K +0.546%G +0.019%7.7%2026-03-20 23:45
Fliff1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -9.50%E -9.04%K -189.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +3.55%E +0.474%K +0.546%G +0.019%8.6%2026-03-20 23:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-03-20 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-03-20 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-03-20 23:45
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-03-20 23:45
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 89.32%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.68%1.8%2026-03-20 23:45
ProphetX1.11I 90.09%NM 88.45%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.55%1.9%2026-03-20 23:45
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 88.68%8.62I 11.60%NM 11.32%2.5%2026-03-20 23:45