La escuela de los momios

Elina Svitolina v Emerson Jones

Inicio: 2026-03-20 23:51 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Elina Svitolina (Local)

Predicción 86.19%1.16momio equitativo
EV +56.87%
Ventaja +31.25%
Kelly +69.36%
Crecimiento +39.44%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.68%84.31%86.42%88.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.051.111.101.8295.24%89.71%90.91%54.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Emerson Jones (Visitante)

Predicción 13.81%7.24momio equitativo
EV +18.74%
Ventaja +2.18%
Kelly +2.47%
Crecimiento +0.462%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.16%15.69%13.58%49.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.876.756.708.6053.48%14.82%14.94%11.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
PointsBet (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.68%EV +56.87%E +31.25%K +69.36%G +39.44%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.32%EV -74.18%E -39.67%K -85.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 23:45
Marathon Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -0.878%E -0.763%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -25.44%E -4.71%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 23:44
GTbets1.14I 87.72%NM 85.35%EV -1.74%E -1.53%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.64I 15.06%NM 14.65%EV -8.32%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-20 23:42
Coolbet1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.86%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +0.100%E +0.014%K +0.016%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-20 23:42
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.86%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -9.01%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 23:44
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.86%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -9.01%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 23:45
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -10.26%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 23:45
LeoVegas1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.71%E -2.19%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 23:45
Casumo1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.71%E -2.19%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 23:45
Unibet (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.71%E -2.19%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 23:45
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.71%E -2.19%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.71%E -2.19%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 23:45
BetRivers1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.71%E -2.19%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 23:45
Grosvenor1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.71%E -2.19%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 23:45
TABtouch1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.71%E -2.19%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 23:45
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.71%E -2.19%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 23:45
Bally Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.71%E -2.19%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 23:45
betPARX1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.71%E -2.19%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 23:45
Svenska Spel1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.71%E -2.19%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 23:45
Hard Rock Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.71%E -2.19%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 23:45
William Hill1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.46%E -3.09%K -28.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -17.16%E -2.86%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 23:41
Pinnacle1.11I 90.09%NM 87.76%EV -4.33%E -3.90%K -39.32%G +0.000%7.96I 12.56%NM 12.24%EV +9.90%E +1.24%K +1.42%G +0.141%2.7%2026-03-20 23:45
DraftKings1.11I 90.09%NM 86.96%EV -4.33%E -3.90%K -39.32%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.04%EV +2.17%E +0.293%K +0.339%G +0.007%3.6%2026-03-20 23:45
Bet Right1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.33%E -3.90%K -39.32%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.80%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 23:42
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.33%E -3.90%K -39.32%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -10.95%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 23:42
LiveScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.33%E -3.90%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -19.92%E -3.43%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 23:45
Virgin Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.33%E -3.90%K -39.32%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -19.92%E -3.43%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 23:45
Winamax (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -5.19%E -4.72%K -51.88%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +10.45%E +1.31%K +1.49%G +0.156%3.4%2026-03-20 23:45
Bovada1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -5.19%E -4.72%K -51.88%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV +0.100%E +0.014%K +0.016%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 23:41
Fanatics1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.19%E -4.72%K -51.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 23:45
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.19%E -4.72%K -51.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 23:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.19%E -4.72%K -51.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 23:43
Neds1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.19%E -4.72%K -51.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 23:43
BetUS1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.19%E -4.72%K -51.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 23:45
Betr (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.19%E -4.72%K -51.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.26%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 23:42
Caesars1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.19%E -4.72%K -51.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.26%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 23:45
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.19%E -4.72%K -51.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.16%E -2.86%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 23:42
ReBet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -6.05%E -5.55%K -67.22%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV +2.17%E +0.293%K +0.339%G +0.007%5.3%2026-03-20 23:39
Winamax (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -6.05%E -5.55%K -67.22%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV +0.100%E +0.014%K +0.016%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 23:45
Betsson1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.05%E -5.55%K -67.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 23:45
NordicBet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.05%E -5.55%K -67.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 23:45
PlayUp1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.05%E -5.55%K -67.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 23:45
TAB1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.05%E -5.55%K -67.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -10.26%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 23:45
FanDuel1.08I 92.59%NM 88.84%EV -6.91%E -6.40%K -86.39%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.16%EV +18.74%E +2.18%K +2.47%G +0.462%4.2%2026-03-20 23:45
Paddy Power1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -6.91%E -6.40%K -86.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +17.36%E +2.04%K +2.31%G +0.402%4.4%2026-03-20 23:45
Coral1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.91%E -6.40%K -86.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +10.45%E +1.31%K +1.49%G +0.156%5.1%2026-03-20 23:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.91%E -6.40%K -86.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +10.45%E +1.31%K +1.49%G +0.156%5.1%2026-03-20 23:45
Unibet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.91%E -6.40%K -86.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +3.55%E +0.474%K +0.546%G +0.019%5.9%2026-03-20 23:44
NetBet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.91%E -6.40%K -86.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 23:43
Parions Sport (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.47%EV -6.91%E -6.40%K -86.39%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.53%EV -4.73%E -0.686%K -0.802%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 23:39
Everygame1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.91%E -6.40%K -86.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -10.26%E -1.58%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 23:39
BetMGM1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -7.77%E -7.26%K -111.05%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV +0.100%E +0.014%K +0.016%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 23:45
SportsBet1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.77%E -7.26%K -111.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.35%E -0.479%K -0.559%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 23:45
PMU (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -8.64%E -8.15%K -143.92%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +10.45%E +1.31%K +1.49%G +0.156%6.8%2026-03-20 23:45
888sport1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -8.64%E -8.15%K -143.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +3.55%E +0.474%K +0.546%G +0.019%7.7%2026-03-20 23:45
Fliff1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -9.50%E -9.04%K -189.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +3.55%E +0.474%K +0.546%G +0.019%8.6%2026-03-20 23:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-03-20 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-03-20 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-03-20 23:45
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-03-20 23:45
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 89.32%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.68%1.8%2026-03-20 23:45
ProphetX1.11I 90.09%NM 88.45%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.55%1.9%2026-03-20 23:45
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 88.68%8.62I 11.60%NM 11.32%2.5%2026-03-20 23:45