L’École des cotes

Elena Gabriela Ruse v Antonia Ruzic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-19 23:41 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Elena Gabriela Ruse (Local)

Prévision 49.15%2.03cote équitable
EV +8.13%
Avantage +3.70%
Kelly +6.77%
Croissance +0.551%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.26%50.38%48.26%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.581.861.922.2063.29%53.81%51.95%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Antonia Ruzic (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.85%1.97cote équitable
EV +19.50%
Avantage +8.30%
Kelly +14.44%
Croissance +2.82%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.18%49.62%51.74%57.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.611.951.842.3562.11%51.32%54.35%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -18.41%E -11.09%K -27.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV +19.50%E +8.30%K +14.44%G +2.82%2.8%2026-03-19 23:20
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -20.38%E -12.58%K -32.87%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV +17.46%E +7.56%K +13.33%G +2.33%5.0%2026-03-19 23:19
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -20.38%E -12.58%K -32.87%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV +17.46%E +7.56%K +13.33%G +2.33%5.0%2026-03-19 23:20
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -20.38%E -12.58%K -32.87%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV +17.46%E +7.56%K +13.33%G +2.33%5.0%2026-03-19 23:19
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -17.92%E -10.73%K -26.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +16.96%E +7.37%K +13.04%G +2.21%3.4%2026-03-19 23:30
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -17.92%E -10.73%K -26.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +16.96%E +7.37%K +13.04%G +2.21%3.4%2026-03-19 23:30
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -19.89%E -12.20%K -31.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV +16.96%E +7.37%K +13.04%G +2.21%4.8%2026-03-19 23:39
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -20.38%E -12.58%K -32.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +16.96%E +7.37%K +13.04%G +2.21%5.2%2026-03-19 23:19
Parions Sport (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -20.87%E -12.96%K -34.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +16.96%E +7.37%K +13.04%G +2.21%5.6%2026-03-19 23:19
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -19.89%E -12.20%K -31.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +15.94%E +6.99%K +12.45%G +1.98%5.2%2026-03-19 23:20
SportsBet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.70%EV -21.85%E -13.74%K -37.04%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.30%EV +14.92%E +6.60%K +11.84%G +1.77%7.1%2026-03-19 23:20
Betr (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -20.87%E -12.96%K -34.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV +14.41%E +6.41%K +11.53%G +1.66%6.6%2026-03-19 23:20
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -21.36%E -13.35%K -35.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +14.41%E +6.41%K +11.53%G +1.66%6.9%2026-03-19 23:19
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -22.34%E -14.14%K -38.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV +14.41%E +6.41%K +11.53%G +1.66%7.7%2026-03-19 23:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -22.34%E -14.14%K -38.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV +14.41%E +6.41%K +11.53%G +1.66%7.7%2026-03-19 23:20
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -22.34%E -14.14%K -38.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV +14.41%E +6.41%K +11.53%G +1.66%7.7%2026-03-19 23:19
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -17.92%E -10.73%K -26.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +11.87%E +5.40%K +9.89%G +1.17%5.3%2026-03-19 23:30
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -18.90%E -11.46%K -29.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +11.87%E +5.40%K +9.89%G +1.17%6.1%2026-03-19 23:32
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -21.36%E -13.35%K -35.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV +11.87%E +5.40%K +9.89%G +1.17%8.0%2026-03-19 23:19
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -21.36%E -13.35%K -35.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV +11.87%E +5.40%K +9.89%G +1.17%8.0%2026-03-19 23:29
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.12%E -3.21%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.88%E -1.51%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 23:38
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.16%E -2.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.91%E -2.63%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 23:39
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.16%E -2.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.93%E -3.20%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 23:40
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.65%E -2.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.93%E -3.20%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 23:40
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.65%E -2.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.93%E -3.20%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 23:39
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.65%E -2.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.93%E -3.20%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 23:40
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.65%E -2.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.93%E -3.20%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 23:40
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.65%E -2.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.93%E -3.20%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 23:40
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.62%E -3.48%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.93%E -3.20%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 23:39
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.14%E -2.66%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 23:39
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.14%E -2.66%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 23:40
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -5.63%E -2.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 23:40
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -5.63%E -2.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 23:39
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -5.63%E -2.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 23:39
Bally Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -5.63%E -2.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 23:40
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.70%E -0.850%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.45%E -4.09%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 23:39
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.16%E -2.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.16%E -2.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 23:40
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.16%E -2.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 23:39
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.12%E -3.21%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 23:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.60%E -4.04%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-19 23:39
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -4.65%E -2.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -9.49%E -5.33%K -12.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 23:39
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -1.70%E -0.850%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.99%E -5.65%K -12.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 23:40
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -1.70%E -0.850%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -11.01%E -6.29%K -14.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 23:40
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +0.757%E +0.369%K +0.721%G +0.005%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -11.52%E -6.62%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 23:40
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -6.62%E -3.48%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -11.52%E -6.62%K -15.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-19 23:40
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +3.21%E +1.53%K +2.92%G +0.094%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -12.03%E -6.95%K -16.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 23:40
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +3.21%E +1.53%K +2.92%G +0.094%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -12.03%E -6.95%K -16.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 23:40
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -1.70%E -0.850%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.03%E -6.95%K -16.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 23:40
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -1.70%E -0.850%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.03%E -6.95%K -16.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 23:39
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -1.70%E -0.850%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -13.05%E -7.63%K -18.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 23:40
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +3.21%E +1.53%K +2.92%G +0.094%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -13.55%E -7.97%K -19.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 23:40
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +0.757%E +0.369%K +0.721%G +0.005%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -13.55%E -7.97%K -19.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 23:40
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -1.70%E -0.850%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -14.06%E -8.32%K -20.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-19 23:39
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV +0.265%E +0.130%K +0.255%G +0.001%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -14.57%E -8.67%K -21.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 23:40
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +3.21%E +1.53%K +2.92%G +0.094%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -15.08%E -9.03%K -22.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 23:40
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +8.13%E +3.70%K +6.77%G +0.551%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -16.10%E -9.76%K -24.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 23:40
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +8.13%E +3.70%K +6.77%G +0.551%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -18.13%E -11.26%K -29.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 23:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-03-19 23:40
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%1.1%2026-03-19 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-03-19 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.3%2026-03-19 23:40
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.7%2026-03-19 23:40
ProphetX2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49%3.5%2026-03-19 23:40
Novig2.01I 49.75%NM 45.53%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.47%9.3%2026-03-19 23:40