La escuela de los momios

Elena Gabriela Ruse v Antonia Ruzic

Inicio: 2026-03-19 23:41 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Elena Gabriela Ruse (Local)

Predicción 49.15%2.03momio equitativo
EV +8.13%
Ventaja +3.70%
Kelly +6.77%
Crecimiento +0.551%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.26%50.38%48.26%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.861.922.2063.29%53.81%51.95%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Antonia Ruzic (Visitante)

Predicción 50.85%1.97momio equitativo
EV +19.50%
Ventaja +8.30%
Kelly +14.44%
Crecimiento +2.82%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.18%49.62%51.74%57.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.611.951.842.3562.11%51.32%54.35%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -18.41%E -11.09%K -27.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV +19.50%E +8.30%K +14.44%G +2.82%2.8%2026-03-19 23:20
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -20.38%E -12.58%K -32.87%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV +17.46%E +7.56%K +13.33%G +2.33%5.0%2026-03-19 23:19
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -20.38%E -12.58%K -32.87%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV +17.46%E +7.56%K +13.33%G +2.33%5.0%2026-03-19 23:20
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -20.38%E -12.58%K -32.87%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV +17.46%E +7.56%K +13.33%G +2.33%5.0%2026-03-19 23:19
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -17.92%E -10.73%K -26.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +16.96%E +7.37%K +13.04%G +2.21%3.4%2026-03-19 23:30
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -17.92%E -10.73%K -26.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +16.96%E +7.37%K +13.04%G +2.21%3.4%2026-03-19 23:30
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -19.89%E -12.20%K -31.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV +16.96%E +7.37%K +13.04%G +2.21%4.8%2026-03-19 23:39
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -20.38%E -12.58%K -32.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +16.96%E +7.37%K +13.04%G +2.21%5.2%2026-03-19 23:19
Parions Sport (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -20.87%E -12.96%K -34.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +16.96%E +7.37%K +13.04%G +2.21%5.6%2026-03-19 23:19
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -19.89%E -12.20%K -31.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +15.94%E +6.99%K +12.45%G +1.98%5.2%2026-03-19 23:20
SportsBet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.70%EV -21.85%E -13.74%K -37.04%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.30%EV +14.92%E +6.60%K +11.84%G +1.77%7.1%2026-03-19 23:20
Betr (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -20.87%E -12.96%K -34.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV +14.41%E +6.41%K +11.53%G +1.66%6.6%2026-03-19 23:20
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -21.36%E -13.35%K -35.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +14.41%E +6.41%K +11.53%G +1.66%6.9%2026-03-19 23:19
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -22.34%E -14.14%K -38.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV +14.41%E +6.41%K +11.53%G +1.66%7.7%2026-03-19 23:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -22.34%E -14.14%K -38.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV +14.41%E +6.41%K +11.53%G +1.66%7.7%2026-03-19 23:20
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -22.34%E -14.14%K -38.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV +14.41%E +6.41%K +11.53%G +1.66%7.7%2026-03-19 23:19
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -17.92%E -10.73%K -26.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +11.87%E +5.40%K +9.89%G +1.17%5.3%2026-03-19 23:30
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -18.90%E -11.46%K -29.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +11.87%E +5.40%K +9.89%G +1.17%6.1%2026-03-19 23:32
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -21.36%E -13.35%K -35.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV +11.87%E +5.40%K +9.89%G +1.17%8.0%2026-03-19 23:19
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -21.36%E -13.35%K -35.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV +11.87%E +5.40%K +9.89%G +1.17%8.0%2026-03-19 23:29
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.12%E -3.21%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.88%E -1.51%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 23:38
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.16%E -2.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.91%E -2.63%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 23:39
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.16%E -2.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.93%E -3.20%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 23:40
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.65%E -2.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.93%E -3.20%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 23:40
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.65%E -2.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.93%E -3.20%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 23:39
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.65%E -2.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.93%E -3.20%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 23:40
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.65%E -2.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.93%E -3.20%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 23:40
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.65%E -2.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.93%E -3.20%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 23:40
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.62%E -3.48%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.93%E -3.20%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 23:39
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.14%E -2.66%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 23:39
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.14%E -2.66%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 23:40
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -5.63%E -2.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 23:40
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -5.63%E -2.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 23:39
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -5.63%E -2.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 23:39
Bally Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -5.63%E -2.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.94%E -3.79%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 23:40
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.70%E -0.850%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.45%E -4.09%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 23:39
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.16%E -2.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.16%E -2.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 23:40
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.16%E -2.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 23:39
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.12%E -3.21%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 23:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.60%E -4.04%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-19 23:39
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -4.65%E -2.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -9.49%E -5.33%K -12.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 23:39
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -1.70%E -0.850%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.99%E -5.65%K -12.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 23:40
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -1.70%E -0.850%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -11.01%E -6.29%K -14.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 23:40
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +0.757%E +0.369%K +0.721%G +0.005%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -11.52%E -6.62%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 23:40
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -6.62%E -3.48%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -11.52%E -6.62%K -15.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-19 23:40
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +3.21%E +1.53%K +2.92%G +0.094%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -12.03%E -6.95%K -16.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 23:40
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +3.21%E +1.53%K +2.92%G +0.094%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -12.03%E -6.95%K -16.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 23:40
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -1.70%E -0.850%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.03%E -6.95%K -16.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 23:40
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -1.70%E -0.850%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.03%E -6.95%K -16.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 23:39
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -1.70%E -0.850%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -13.05%E -7.63%K -18.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 23:40
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +3.21%E +1.53%K +2.92%G +0.094%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -13.55%E -7.97%K -19.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 23:40
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +0.757%E +0.369%K +0.721%G +0.005%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -13.55%E -7.97%K -19.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 23:40
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -1.70%E -0.850%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -14.06%E -8.32%K -20.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-19 23:39
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV +0.265%E +0.130%K +0.255%G +0.001%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -14.57%E -8.67%K -21.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 23:40
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +3.21%E +1.53%K +2.92%G +0.094%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -15.08%E -9.03%K -22.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 23:40
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +8.13%E +3.70%K +6.77%G +0.551%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -16.10%E -9.76%K -24.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 23:40
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +8.13%E +3.70%K +6.77%G +0.551%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -18.13%E -11.26%K -29.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 23:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-03-19 23:40
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%1.1%2026-03-19 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-03-19 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.3%2026-03-19 23:40
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.7%2026-03-19 23:40
ProphetX2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49%3.5%2026-03-19 23:40
Novig2.01I 49.75%NM 45.53%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.47%9.3%2026-03-19 23:40