Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ekaterine Gorgodze v Talia Gibson

Kickoff: 2026-03-16 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

12%

88%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ekaterine Gorgodze (Local)

Prediction 11.74%8.52fair odd

EV +17.36%

Edge +1.74%

Kelly +1.93%

Growth +0.335%

assuming max odds 10.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

9.50%11.66%11.68%16.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.758.027.8110.0017.39%12.46%12.80%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Talia Gibson (Visit)

Prediction 88.26%1.13fair odd

EV -0.262%

Edge -0.232%

Kelly -2.01%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

83.58%88.34%88.32%90.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.051.071.061.1395.24%93.36%94.34%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ekaterine Gorgodze (Local): 11.74%; Talia Gibson (Visit): 88.26%. For Ekaterine Gorgodze (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.52. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +17.36%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Betway🎯	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +17.36%E +1.74%K +1.93%G +0.335%	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.32%E -6.97%K -146.45%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-16 14:15
Coral🎯	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +11.49%E +1.21%K +1.35%G +0.155%	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.44%E -6.08%K -107.33%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-03-16 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +11.49%E +1.21%K +1.35%G +0.155%	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.44%E -6.08%K -107.33%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-03-16 14:15
888sport🎯	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +5.62%E +0.625%K +0.703%G +0.040%	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.32%E -6.97%K -146.45%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-16 14:15
888sport (SE)🎯	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +5.62%E +0.625%K +0.703%G +0.040%	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.32%E -6.97%K -146.45%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-16 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +5.62%E +0.625%K +0.703%G +0.040%	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.32%E -6.97%K -146.45%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-16 14:15
theScore Bet🎯	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -0.245%E -0.029%K -0.033%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.44%E -6.08%K -107.33%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-16 14:15
Pinnacle🎯	8.42I 11.88%NM 11.46%EV -1.18%E -0.141%K -0.159%G +0.000%	1.09I 91.74%NM 88.54%EV -3.79%E -3.48%K -42.14%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-03-16 14:10
BoyleSports🎯	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.11%E -0.764%K -0.873%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.67%E -4.33%K -58.44%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-16 14:05
LowVig.ag🎯	7.63I 13.11%NM 12.50%EV -10.45%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%	1.09I 91.74%NM 87.50%EV -3.79%E -3.48%K -42.14%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-15 20:00
BetOnline.ag🎯	7.63I 13.11%NM 12.50%EV -10.45%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%	1.09I 91.74%NM 87.50%EV -3.79%E -3.48%K -42.14%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-15 20:00
Fliff🎯	7.60I 13.16%NM 12.14%EV -10.81%E -1.42%K -1.64%G +0.000%	1.05I 95.24%NM 87.86%EV -7.32%E -6.97%K -146.45%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-03-16 14:15
Bet Victor🎯	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.85%E -2.55%K -2.97%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.67%E -4.33%K -58.44%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-16 14:15
William Hill🎯	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -17.85%E -2.55%K -2.97%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.67%E -4.33%K -58.44%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-15 19:59
NordicBet🎯	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -17.85%E -2.55%K -2.97%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -6.44%E -6.08%K -107.33%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-03-16 14:15
Betsson🎯	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -17.85%E -2.55%K -2.97%G +0.000%	1.05I 95.24%NM 86.96%EV -7.32%E -6.97%K -146.45%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-03-16 14:14
GTbets🎯	6.92I 14.45%NM 13.72%EV -18.79%E -2.71%K -3.17%G +0.000%	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.28%EV -2.91%E -2.65%K -29.10%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-16 14:05
PlayUp🎯	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -32.52%E -5.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%	1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -0.262%E -0.232%K -2.01%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-16 14:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets◎	14.01I 7.14%NM 7.03%	1.06I 94.34%NM 92.97%	1.5%	2026-03-16 14:15