Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.50
assuming max odds 2.84
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local): 64.81%; Jaqueline Cristian (Visit): 35.19%. For Jaqueline Cristian (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.841. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.840, with an expected value of -0.049%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.20%EV -2.79%E -1.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.80%EV -1.11%E -0.393%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.79%E -1.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -3.22%E -1.17%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -2.79%E -1.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -6.03%E -2.26%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.79%E -1.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.79%E -2.97%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.79%E -1.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.50%E -3.27%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.79%E -1.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.50%E -3.27%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.79%E -1.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.50%E -3.27%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.79%E -1.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.50%E -3.27%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.44%E -2.31%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -4.27%E -1.57%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.44%E -2.31%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -4.27%E -1.57%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.09%E -2.76%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -1.46%E -0.520%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.09%E -2.76%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.98%E -1.84%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.09%E -2.76%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.98%E -1.84%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.09%E -2.76%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.98%E -1.84%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.09%E -2.76%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.98%E -1.84%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.09%E -2.76%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.98%E -1.84%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.09%E -2.76%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.98%E -1.84%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.09%E -2.76%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.98%E -1.84%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.09%E -2.76%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.98%E -1.84%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.09%E -2.76%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.98%E -1.84%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.09%E -2.76%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.98%E -1.84%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.09%E -2.76%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.98%E -1.84%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.09%E -2.76%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.98%E -1.84%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.09%E -2.76%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.98%E -1.84%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.09%E -2.76%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.98%E -1.84%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.09%E -2.76%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.98%E -1.84%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 14:58 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.09%E -2.76%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.74%E -2.54%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.73%E -3.22%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.22%E -1.17%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 14:58 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.73%E -3.22%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.98%E -1.84%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -4.73%E -3.22%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -6.03%E -2.26%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.73%E -3.22%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.74%E -2.54%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -5.38%E -3.69%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -2.51%E -0.907%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.38%E -3.69%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.22%E -1.17%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.38%E -3.69%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.98%E -1.84%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.38%E -3.69%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.74%E -2.54%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.38%E -3.69%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.74%E -2.54%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.38%E -3.69%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.50%E -3.27%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.03%E -4.16%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.46%E -0.520%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.03%E -4.16%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.22%E -1.17%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.03%E -4.16%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.22%E -1.17%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -6.03%E -4.16%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -3.57%E -1.30%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.03%E -4.16%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.98%E -1.84%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.03%E -4.16%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.98%E -1.84%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.03%E -4.16%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.98%E -1.84%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.03%E -4.16%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.98%E -1.84%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.03%E -4.16%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.98%E -1.84%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -6.03%E -4.16%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -6.03%E -2.26%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.03%E -4.16%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.74%E -2.54%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -6.03%E -4.16%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -7.44%E -2.83%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -6.03%E -4.16%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -7.44%E -2.83%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -6.68%E -4.64%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -0.049%E -0.017%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.68%E -4.64%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.98%E -1.84%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.68%E -4.64%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.79%E -2.97%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.68%E -4.64%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.79%E -2.97%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.68%E -4.64%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.50%E -3.27%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-22 14:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.68%E -4.64%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.50%E -3.27%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.68%E -4.64%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.50%E -3.27%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.68%E -4.64%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.50%E -3.27%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-22 14:58 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.33%E -5.12%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -4.98%E -1.84%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -7.98%E -5.62%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -4.27%E -1.57%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.27%E -6.62%K -23.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -1.46%E -0.520%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 14:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18% | 1.1% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.82% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18% | 1.8% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.73% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27% | 3.5% | 2026-03-22 15:00 |