The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Dalma Galfi v Maria Sakkari

Kickoff: 2026-03-17 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dalma Galfi (Local)

Prediction 26.72%3.74fair odd
EV -3.80%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.77%26.72%26.72%28.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.413.403.6030.30%29.29%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Maria Sakkari (Visit)

Prediction 73.28%1.36fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -2.48%
Kelly -10.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.74%73.28%73.28%74.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.291.301.3280.00%77.28%76.92%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dalma Galfi (Local): 26.72%; Maria Sakkari (Visit): 73.28%. For Maria Sakkari (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.36. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.32, with an expected value of -3.27%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.80%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.40%E -6.72%K -33.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 08:14
FanDuel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.27%E -2.48%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 08:54
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 09:04
SportsBet🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -11.28%E -3.40%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 05:54
PMU (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.74%E -3.65%K -15.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 14:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.