Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aryna Sabalenka v Elena Rybakina

Início: 2026-03-27 00:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Previsão 54.78%1.83odd justa
EV -1.39%
Vantagem -0.773%
Kelly -1.74%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.05%54.78%54.83%55.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.731.721.8060.61%57.91%58.14%55.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Elena Rybakina (Visitante)

Previsão 45.22%2.21odd justa
EV -2.33%
Vantagem -1.08%
Kelly -2.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.19%45.22%45.17%46.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.112.102.1650.00%47.48%47.62%46.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Aryna Sabalenka (Local): 54.78%; Elena Rybakina (Visitante): 45.22%. Para Aryna Sabalenka (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.83. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.80, com valor esperado de -1.39%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.39%E -0.773%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 23:59
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -1.94%E -1.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -6.40%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 09:39
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.49%E -1.40%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-27 00:00
FanDuel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.49%E -1.40%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.95%E -2.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 13:24
Coolbet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.78%E -1.29%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-26 21:45
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 22:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 00:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 00:09
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.56%E -4.78%K -9.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 00:10
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -3.58%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-26 22:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.58%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 07:44
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.58%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.95%E -2.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-26 22:20
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.58%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.95%E -2.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-26 13:24
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 14:25
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 06:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 19:35
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 06:09
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 23:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 14:25
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 00:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.56%E -4.78%K -9.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 14:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-26 07:45
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.78%E -1.29%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 06:59
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.59%E -2.18%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 22:19
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 07:19
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 07:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 14:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 14:05
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.56%E -4.78%K -9.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-26 12:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.77%E -3.36%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -4.59%E -2.18%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 22:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.77%E -3.36%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -4.59%E -2.18%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 22:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.77%E -3.36%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 22:40
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.77%E -3.36%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 21:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 22:15
LeoVegas🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 22:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 22:19
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 22:15
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 22:15
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 22:15
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 22:15
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 22:19
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 22:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 22:19
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 22:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 22:19
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.78%E -1.29%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 22:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.78%E -1.29%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 22:20
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-26 20:10
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-26 04:20
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.87%E -4.04%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-26 21:45
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.87%E -4.04%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-26 21:39
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.87%E -4.04%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.56%E -4.78%K -9.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-26 23:59
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.42%E -4.39%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-26 23:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.97%E -4.74%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.14%E -1.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-26 22:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.97%E -4.74%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.14%E -1.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-26 22:15
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.97%E -4.74%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 22:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.97%E -4.74%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 22:15
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.51%E -5.10%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-26 22:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.51%E -5.10%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-26 22:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -9.61%E -5.82%K -14.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-26 21:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-03-27 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-03-27 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-03-27 00:05
ProphetX1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61%2.19I 45.66%NM 45.39%0.6%2026-03-26 23:50
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-03-27 00:10
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.03%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.97%1.5%2026-03-27 00:05
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-03-27 00:00