L’École des cotes

Aryna Sabalenka v Elena Rybakina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-27 00:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Prévision 54.78%1.83cote équitable
EV -1.39%
Avantage -0.773%
Kelly -1.74%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.05%54.78%54.83%55.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.731.721.8060.61%57.91%58.14%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Elena Rybakina (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.22%2.21cote équitable
EV -2.33%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -2.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.19%45.22%45.17%46.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.112.102.1650.00%47.48%47.62%46.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.39%E -0.773%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 23:59
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -1.94%E -1.08%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -6.40%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 09:39
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.49%E -1.40%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-27 00:00
FanDuel1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.49%E -1.40%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.95%E -2.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 13:24
Coolbet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.78%E -1.29%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-26 21:45
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 22:20
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 00:10
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 00:09
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.56%E -4.78%K -9.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 00:10
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -3.58%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-26 22:20
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.58%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 07:44
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.58%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.95%E -2.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-26 22:20
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.58%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.95%E -2.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-26 13:24
Parions Sport (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 14:25
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 06:09
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 19:35
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 06:09
ReBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 23:35
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 14:25
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 00:00
PMU (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.56%E -4.78%K -9.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 14:30
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-26 07:45
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.78%E -1.29%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 06:59
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.59%E -2.18%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 22:19
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 07:19
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 07:59
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 14:04
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 14:05
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.56%E -4.78%K -9.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-26 12:24
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.77%E -3.36%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -4.59%E -2.18%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 22:15
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.77%E -3.36%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -4.59%E -2.18%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 22:15
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.77%E -3.36%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 22:40
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.77%E -3.36%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 21:59
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 22:15
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 22:19
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 22:19
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 22:15
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 22:15
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 22:15
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 22:15
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 22:19
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 22:20
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 22:19
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 22:15
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 22:19
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.78%E -1.29%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 22:14
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.78%E -1.29%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 22:20
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-26 20:10
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-26 04:20
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.87%E -4.04%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-26 21:45
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.87%E -4.04%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-26 21:39
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.87%E -4.04%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.56%E -4.78%K -9.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-26 23:59
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.42%E -4.39%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-26 23:15
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.97%E -4.74%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.14%E -1.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-26 22:15
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.97%E -4.74%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.14%E -1.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-26 22:15
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.97%E -4.74%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 22:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.97%E -4.74%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 22:15
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.51%E -5.10%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-26 22:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.51%E -5.10%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-26 22:15
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -9.61%E -5.82%K -14.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-26 21:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-03-27 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-03-27 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-03-27 00:05
ProphetX1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61%2.19I 45.66%NM 45.39%0.6%2026-03-26 23:50
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-03-27 00:10
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.03%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.97%1.5%2026-03-27 00:05
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-03-27 00:00