Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.74
assuming max odds 2.17
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anastasia Zakharova (Local): 55.36%; Lanlana Tararudee (Visit): 44.64%. For Lanlana Tararudee (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.17, with an expected value of -3.13%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.67%E -2.11%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-16 14:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.67%E -2.11%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-16 14:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.23%E -2.44%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -3.13%E -1.44%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-16 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.23%E -2.44%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 17:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.23%E -2.44%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 11:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.23%E -2.44%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 12:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.23%E -2.44%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 12:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.23%E -2.44%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.33%E -3.12%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 11:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.89%E -3.46%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.37%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-16 14:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -6.99%E -4.16%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -7.15%E -3.44%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 11:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.55%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-16 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.55%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.55%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-15 17:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.55%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-16 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.55%E -4.52%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-16 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -8.65%E -5.25%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -5.81%E -2.75%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 11:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -8.65%E -5.25%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -5.81%E -2.75%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 11:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.65%E -5.25%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-15 17:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10% | 4.0% | 2026-03-16 14:40 |