L’École des cotes

Anastasia Zakharova v Anna Bondár

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-19 16:21 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Anastasia Zakharova (Local)

Prévision 60.34%1.66cote équitable
EV +0.775%
Avantage +0.464%
Kelly +1.16%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.70%60.76%59.43%67.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.391.531.541.6771.94%65.53%64.94%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Anna Bondár (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.66%2.52cote équitable
EV +15.00%
Avantage +5.17%
Kelly +7.90%
Croissance +1.18%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.56%39.24%40.57%44.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.482.382.9047.62%40.27%42.02%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -15.52%E -11.08%K -38.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +15.00%E +5.17%K +7.90%G +1.18%5.9%2026-03-19 15:59
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -12.50%E -8.62%K -27.78%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV +12.62%E +4.44%K +6.86%G +0.866%4.2%2026-03-19 16:00
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -12.50%E -8.62%K -27.78%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV +12.62%E +4.44%K +6.86%G +0.866%4.2%2026-03-19 16:00
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.06%EV -16.12%E -11.60%K -41.34%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.94%EV +12.23%E +4.32%K +6.68%G +0.817%7.3%2026-03-19 16:00
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -13.71%E -9.59%K -31.88%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV +11.43%E +4.07%K +6.32%G +0.722%5.5%2026-03-19 16:00
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -10.09%E -6.77%K -20.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV +11.04%E +3.94%K +6.13%G +0.677%2.8%2026-03-19 16:09
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -12.50%E -8.62%K -27.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +11.04%E +3.94%K +6.13%G +0.677%4.7%2026-03-19 16:03
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -15.52%E -11.08%K -38.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +11.04%E +3.94%K +6.13%G +0.677%7.1%2026-03-19 16:00
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -11.90%E -8.15%K -25.86%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV +9.85%E +3.55%K +5.56%G +0.548%4.6%2026-03-19 16:00
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -11.29%E -7.68%K -24.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV +9.05%E +3.29%K +5.17%G +0.468%4.4%2026-03-19 16:00
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -12.50%E -8.62%K -27.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +9.05%E +3.29%K +5.17%G +0.468%5.3%2026-03-19 16:00
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -12.50%E -8.62%K -27.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +9.05%E +3.29%K +5.17%G +0.468%5.3%2026-03-19 16:00
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -12.50%E -8.62%K -27.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +9.05%E +3.29%K +5.17%G +0.468%5.3%2026-03-19 16:08
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -12.50%E -8.62%K -27.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +9.05%E +3.29%K +5.17%G +0.468%5.3%2026-03-19 15:59
Parions Sport (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -13.10%E -9.10%K -29.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +9.05%E +3.29%K +5.17%G +0.468%5.8%2026-03-19 15:59
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -15.52%E -11.08%K -38.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +9.05%E +3.29%K +5.17%G +0.468%7.8%2026-03-19 16:00
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -15.52%E -11.08%K -38.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +9.05%E +3.29%K +5.17%G +0.468%7.8%2026-03-19 16:12
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -12.50%E -8.62%K -27.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +7.07%E +2.62%K +4.16%G +0.294%6.0%2026-03-19 16:00
Bet Right1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -11.29%E -7.68%K -24.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +5.09%E +1.92%K +3.08%G +0.157%5.8%2026-03-19 16:00
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -12.50%E -8.62%K -27.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV +5.09%E +1.92%K +3.08%G +0.157%6.7%2026-03-19 16:03
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -10.69%E -7.22%K -22.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +3.10%E +1.19%K +1.94%G +0.060%6.0%2026-03-19 16:10
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -11.90%E -8.15%K -25.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV +3.10%E +1.19%K +1.94%G +0.060%7.0%2026-03-19 16:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -13.10%E -9.10%K -29.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +3.10%E +1.19%K +1.94%G +0.060%7.9%2026-03-19 16:00
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -13.10%E -9.10%K -29.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +3.10%E +1.19%K +1.94%G +0.060%7.9%2026-03-19 16:00
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.07%E -4.59%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -0.861%E -0.344%K -0.574%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 16:14
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.84%E -1.16%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 16:14
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:14
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:14
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:14
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.47%E -4.17%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 16:14
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.47%E -4.17%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 16:14
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.47%E -4.17%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 16:14
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.47%E -4.17%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 16:14
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.67%E -5.02%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 16:14
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.67%E -5.02%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 16:14
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.67%E -5.02%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 16:14
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.67%E -5.02%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 16:14
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.45%E -2.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:14
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.45%E -2.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:14
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.45%E -2.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:14
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.45%E -2.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:14
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -4.66%E -2.95%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -8.00%E -3.45%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 16:14
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -8.00%E -3.45%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 16:15
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -3.45%E -2.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -8.40%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 16:15
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.45%E -2.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.79%E -3.82%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 16:15
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.79%E -3.82%K -6.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 16:14
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -9.58%E -4.20%K -7.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -6.47%E -4.17%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -9.58%E -4.20%K -7.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-19 16:14
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -1.04%E -0.631%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -9.98%E -4.40%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 16:14
Fliff1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.07%E -4.59%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.77%E -4.79%K -8.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-19 16:14
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV +0.775%E +0.464%K +1.16%G +0.009%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -12.36%E -5.59%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:14
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -1.64%E -1.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -12.76%E -5.80%K -10.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 16:15
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.24%E -1.38%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.76%E -5.80%K -10.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -2.85%E -1.77%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.76%E -5.80%K -10.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 16:14
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -2.24%E -1.38%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -14.74%E -6.86%K -12.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 16:14
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -2.24%E -1.38%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -14.74%E -6.86%K -12.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 16:14
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +0.775%E +0.464%K +1.16%G +0.009%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -16.72%E -7.96%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 16:15
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +0.775%E +0.464%K +1.16%G +0.009%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -16.72%E -7.96%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 16:14
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -3.45%E -2.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -16.72%E -7.96%K -15.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-19 16:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-03-19 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-03-19 16:14
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-03-19 16:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-03-19 16:14
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.5%2026-03-19 16:15
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.5%2026-03-19 16:15
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%5.9%2026-03-19 16:14