La escuela de los momios

Anastasia Zakharova v Anna Bondár

Inicio: 2026-03-19 16:21 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Anastasia Zakharova (Local)

Predicción 60.34%1.66momio equitativo
EV +0.775%
Ventaja +0.464%
Kelly +1.16%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.70%60.76%59.43%67.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.391.531.541.6771.94%65.53%64.94%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Anna Bondár (Visitante)

Predicción 39.66%2.52momio equitativo
EV +15.00%
Ventaja +5.17%
Kelly +7.90%
Crecimiento +1.18%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.56%39.24%40.57%44.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.482.382.9047.62%40.27%42.02%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -15.52%E -11.08%K -38.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +15.00%E +5.17%K +7.90%G +1.18%5.9%2026-03-19 15:59
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -12.50%E -8.62%K -27.78%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV +12.62%E +4.44%K +6.86%G +0.866%4.2%2026-03-19 16:00
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -12.50%E -8.62%K -27.78%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV +12.62%E +4.44%K +6.86%G +0.866%4.2%2026-03-19 16:00
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.06%EV -16.12%E -11.60%K -41.34%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.94%EV +12.23%E +4.32%K +6.68%G +0.817%7.3%2026-03-19 16:00
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -13.71%E -9.59%K -31.88%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV +11.43%E +4.07%K +6.32%G +0.722%5.5%2026-03-19 16:00
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -10.09%E -6.77%K -20.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV +11.04%E +3.94%K +6.13%G +0.677%2.8%2026-03-19 16:09
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -12.50%E -8.62%K -27.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +11.04%E +3.94%K +6.13%G +0.677%4.7%2026-03-19 16:03
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -15.52%E -11.08%K -38.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +11.04%E +3.94%K +6.13%G +0.677%7.1%2026-03-19 16:00
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -11.90%E -8.15%K -25.86%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV +9.85%E +3.55%K +5.56%G +0.548%4.6%2026-03-19 16:00
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -11.29%E -7.68%K -24.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV +9.05%E +3.29%K +5.17%G +0.468%4.4%2026-03-19 16:00
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -12.50%E -8.62%K -27.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +9.05%E +3.29%K +5.17%G +0.468%5.3%2026-03-19 16:00
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -12.50%E -8.62%K -27.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +9.05%E +3.29%K +5.17%G +0.468%5.3%2026-03-19 16:00
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -12.50%E -8.62%K -27.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +9.05%E +3.29%K +5.17%G +0.468%5.3%2026-03-19 16:08
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -12.50%E -8.62%K -27.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +9.05%E +3.29%K +5.17%G +0.468%5.3%2026-03-19 15:59
Parions Sport (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -13.10%E -9.10%K -29.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +9.05%E +3.29%K +5.17%G +0.468%5.8%2026-03-19 15:59
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -15.52%E -11.08%K -38.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +9.05%E +3.29%K +5.17%G +0.468%7.8%2026-03-19 16:00
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -15.52%E -11.08%K -38.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +9.05%E +3.29%K +5.17%G +0.468%7.8%2026-03-19 16:12
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -12.50%E -8.62%K -27.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +7.07%E +2.62%K +4.16%G +0.294%6.0%2026-03-19 16:00
Bet Right1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -11.29%E -7.68%K -24.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +5.09%E +1.92%K +3.08%G +0.157%5.8%2026-03-19 16:00
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -12.50%E -8.62%K -27.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV +5.09%E +1.92%K +3.08%G +0.157%6.7%2026-03-19 16:03
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -10.69%E -7.22%K -22.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +3.10%E +1.19%K +1.94%G +0.060%6.0%2026-03-19 16:10
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -11.90%E -8.15%K -25.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV +3.10%E +1.19%K +1.94%G +0.060%7.0%2026-03-19 16:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -13.10%E -9.10%K -29.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +3.10%E +1.19%K +1.94%G +0.060%7.9%2026-03-19 16:00
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -13.10%E -9.10%K -29.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +3.10%E +1.19%K +1.94%G +0.060%7.9%2026-03-19 16:00
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.07%E -4.59%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -0.861%E -0.344%K -0.574%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 16:14
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.84%E -1.16%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 16:14
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:14
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:14
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 16:14
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.47%E -4.17%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 16:14
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.47%E -4.17%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 16:14
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.47%E -4.17%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 16:14
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.47%E -4.17%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 16:14
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.67%E -5.02%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 16:14
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.67%E -5.02%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 16:14
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.67%E -5.02%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 16:14
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.67%E -5.02%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.62%E -2.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 16:14
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.45%E -2.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:14
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.45%E -2.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:14
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.45%E -2.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:14
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.45%E -2.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.81%E -2.90%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:14
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -4.66%E -2.95%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -8.00%E -3.45%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 16:14
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -8.00%E -3.45%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 16:15
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -3.45%E -2.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -8.40%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 16:15
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.45%E -2.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.79%E -3.82%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 16:15
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.26%E -3.35%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.79%E -3.82%K -6.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 16:14
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -5.86%E -3.76%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -9.58%E -4.20%K -7.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -6.47%E -4.17%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -9.58%E -4.20%K -7.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-19 16:14
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -1.04%E -0.631%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -9.98%E -4.40%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 16:14
Fliff1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.07%E -4.59%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.77%E -4.79%K -8.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-19 16:14
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV +0.775%E +0.464%K +1.16%G +0.009%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -12.36%E -5.59%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 16:14
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -1.64%E -1.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -12.76%E -5.80%K -10.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 16:15
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.24%E -1.38%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.76%E -5.80%K -10.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -2.85%E -1.77%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.76%E -5.80%K -10.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 16:14
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -2.24%E -1.38%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -14.74%E -6.86%K -12.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 16:14
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -2.24%E -1.38%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -14.74%E -6.86%K -12.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 16:14
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +0.775%E +0.464%K +1.16%G +0.009%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -16.72%E -7.96%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 16:15
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +0.775%E +0.464%K +1.16%G +0.009%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -16.72%E -7.96%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 16:14
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -3.45%E -2.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -16.72%E -7.96%K -15.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-19 16:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-03-19 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-03-19 16:14
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-03-19 16:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-03-19 16:14
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.5%2026-03-19 16:15
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.5%2026-03-19 16:15
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%5.9%2026-03-19 16:14