Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alycia Parks v Sinja Kraus

Kickoff: 2026-03-19 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alycia Parks (Local)

Prediction 55.83%1.79fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.667%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.05%55.80%55.87%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.701.701.7760.24%58.87%58.82%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sinja Kraus (Visit)

Prediction 44.17%2.26fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.674%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%44.20%44.13%45.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.142.152.2350.00%46.67%46.51%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alycia Parks (Local): 55.83%; Sinja Kraus (Visit): 44.17%. For Alycia Parks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.79. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.77, with an expected value of -1.18%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%EV -1.18%E -0.667%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-19 14:25
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -2.85%E -1.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -6.80%E -3.22%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 14:39
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.41%E -1.97%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.04%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-18 12:10
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.41%E -1.97%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 13:55
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.41%E -1.97%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 16:30
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.41%E -1.97%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 16:29
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.97%E -2.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.50%E -0.674%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 14:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.97%E -2.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.71%E -1.70%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 13:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.97%E -2.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.71%E -1.70%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 13:24
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.97%E -2.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.48%E -2.56%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-18 12:10
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.97%E -2.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 14:00
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.04%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.83%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 00:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 15:10
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 15:10
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 15:09
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 15:10
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 15:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 15:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 15:10
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 15:09
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.59%E -2.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 15:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.04%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 15:10
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.04%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 14:44
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-18 12:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-18 12:09
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-18 22:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 12:09
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 12:10
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.09%E -2.99%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 14:00
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.83%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 00:15
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.04%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-18 15:10
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.04%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-18 13:09
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 12:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.20%E -3.69%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.83%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 10:05
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.20%E -3.69%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 00:14
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.20%E -3.69%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 00:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.20%E -3.69%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 03:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.83%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 14:29
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.83%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 12:58
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.04%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 00:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.04%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 03:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -6.36%E -3.00%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 15:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -6.36%E -3.00%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 15:09
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 00:15
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 12:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -7.32%E -4.41%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.04%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 00:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-03-19 14:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-03-19 14:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-03-19 14:24
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-03-19 14:25
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.9%2026-03-19 14:04