Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alycia Parks v Coco Gauff

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alycia Parks (Local)

Prediction 14.47%6.91fair odd
EV +15.77%
Edge +1.97%
Kelly +2.25%
Growth +0.355%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.09%14.45%14.48%16.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.636.638.0018.18%15.09%15.09%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Coco Gauff (Visit)

Prediction 85.53%1.17fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -17.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.08%85.55%85.52%87.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.111.111.1492.59%90.04%90.09%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alycia Parks (Local): 14.47%; Coco Gauff (Visit): 85.53%. For Alycia Parks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.91. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.77%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +15.77%E +1.97%K +2.25%G +0.355%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -5.92%E -5.38%K -59.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 09:44
1xBet🎯7.38I 13.55%NM 13.18%EV +6.79%E +0.921%K +1.06%G +0.072%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.82%EV -4.21%E -3.76%K -35.06%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-21 22:30
FanDuel🎯7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV +2.74%E +0.386%K +0.449%G +0.012%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -5.06%E -4.56%K -46.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 21:19
Coolbet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV +1.29%E +0.185%K +0.216%G +0.003%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%EV -3.35%E -2.97%K -25.78%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-21 21:34
Winamax (DE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +1.29%E +0.185%K +0.216%G +0.003%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.21%E -3.76%K -35.06%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-21 18:35
Paddy Power🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.29%E +0.185%K +0.216%G +0.003%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.92%E -5.38%K -59.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 21:19
888sport🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.29%E +0.185%K +0.216%G +0.003%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.92%E -5.38%K -59.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 13:19
William Hill🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.29%E +0.185%K +0.216%G +0.003%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.92%E -5.38%K -59.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 13:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.29%E +0.185%K +0.216%G +0.003%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.92%E -5.38%K -59.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 13:20
888sport (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.29%E +0.185%K +0.216%G +0.003%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.92%E -5.38%K -59.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 13:19
PMU (FR)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.29%E +0.185%K +0.216%G +0.003%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.63%E -7.06%K -95.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 21:14
Pinnacle🎯6.99I 14.31%NM 14.02%EV +1.15%E +0.164%K +0.192%G +0.002%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.98%EV -2.50%E -2.19%K -17.83%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-21 22:50
Casumo🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -2.32%E -0.344%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.21%E -3.76%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 16:15
Grosvenor🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -2.32%E -0.344%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.21%E -3.76%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 16:15
LeoVegas🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -2.32%E -0.344%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.21%E -3.76%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -2.32%E -0.344%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.21%E -3.76%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 16:10
Unibet (NL)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -2.32%E -0.344%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.21%E -3.76%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -2.32%E -0.344%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.21%E -3.76%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 16:10
TABtouch🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -2.32%E -0.344%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.21%E -3.76%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 16:15
Unibet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -2.32%E -0.344%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.21%E -3.76%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 16:15
Bally Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -2.32%E -0.344%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.21%E -3.76%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -2.32%E -0.344%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.21%E -3.76%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 16:10
betPARX🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -2.32%E -0.344%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.21%E -3.76%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 16:14
Svenska Spel🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -2.32%E -0.344%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.21%E -3.76%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 16:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -2.32%E -0.344%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.21%E -3.76%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 16:10
Bet Right🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.32%E -0.344%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.06%E -4.56%K -46.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 18:09
Bovada🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.32%E -0.344%K -0.404%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.06%E -4.56%K -46.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 22:48
GTbets🎯6.68I 14.97%NM 14.03%EV -3.34%E -0.499%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.97%EV -6.77%E -6.21%K -75.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 18:14
Marathon Bet🎯6.65I 15.04%NM 14.30%EV -3.77%E -0.567%K -0.667%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.70%EV -5.06%E -4.56%K -46.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 22:25
DraftKings🎯6.64I 15.06%NM 14.54%EV -3.91%E -0.590%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.46%EV -3.35%E -2.97%K -25.78%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-21 15:29
LowVig.ag🎯6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -4.35%E -0.658%K -0.775%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.21%E -3.76%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 21:40
BetOnline.ag🎯6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -4.35%E -0.658%K -0.775%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.21%E -3.76%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 21:40
NordicBet🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -4.49%E -0.681%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.06%E -4.56%K -46.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 18:35
Betsson🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -4.49%E -0.681%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.06%E -4.56%K -46.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 18:35
ReBet🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -4.49%E -0.681%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.06%E -4.56%K -46.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 22:04
Fanatics🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -4.49%E -0.681%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.06%E -4.56%K -46.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 18:40
Fliff🎯6.55I 15.27%NM 14.38%EV -5.22%E -0.797%K -0.940%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.62%EV -5.92%E -5.38%K -59.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 21:54
BetRivers🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.94%E -0.914%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.21%E -3.76%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 16:10
Unibet (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.94%E -0.914%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.21%E -3.76%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 18:35
Winamax (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.94%E -0.914%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.06%E -4.56%K -46.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 18:35
Coral🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.94%E -0.914%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.06%E -4.56%K -46.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.94%E -0.914%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.06%E -4.56%K -46.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 13:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.94%E -0.914%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.06%E -4.56%K -46.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 18:35
Caesars🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.94%E -0.914%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.92%E -5.38%K -59.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 15:34
TAB🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -5.94%E -0.914%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.77%E -6.21%K -75.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 22:50
NetBet (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -5.94%E -0.914%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.63%E -7.06%K -95.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 18:34
theScore Bet🎯6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -6.66%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -5.06%E -4.56%K -46.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯6.45I 15.50%NM 14.57%EV -6.66%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.43%EV -5.92%E -5.38%K -59.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 22:49
Parions Sport (FR)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -7.39%E -1.15%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.06%E -4.56%K -46.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 22:49
BetMGM🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.56%E -1.53%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.06%E -4.56%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 13:09
Betr (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.56%E -1.53%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.06%E -4.56%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 19:34
LiveScore Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -9.56%E -1.53%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.92%E -5.38%K -59.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 16:10
Virgin Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -9.56%E -1.53%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.92%E -5.38%K -59.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 16:15
Neds🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -10.28%E -1.66%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -5.92%E -5.38%K -59.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 13:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -10.28%E -1.66%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -5.92%E -5.38%K -59.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 13:10
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.18%E -2.20%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.21%E -3.76%K -35.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 21:55
PlayUp🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.18%E -2.20%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.21%E -3.76%K -35.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 22:49
SportsBet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -13.18%E -2.20%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.92%E -5.38%K -59.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 21:20
Everygame🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -13.18%E -2.20%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.92%E -5.38%K -59.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 17:24
Bet Victor🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -20.41%E -3.71%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.21%E -3.76%K -35.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 20:33
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%0.8%2026-03-21 22:49
Matchbook7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%0.8%2026-03-21 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-03-21 22:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-03-21 22:54
Novig6.90I 14.49%NM 14.18%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.82%2.2%2026-03-21 22:49
Smarkets6.60I 15.15%NM 14.62%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.38%3.6%2026-03-21 22:55