L’École des cotes

Yulia Putintseva v Tereza Valentova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-22 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Yulia Putintseva (Local)

Prévision 45.18%2.21cote équitable
EV +5.26%
Avantage +2.26%
Kelly +3.95%
Croissance +0.208%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.01%45.70%45.26%51.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.822.062.072.3354.95%48.51%48.31%42.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tereza Valentova (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.82%1.82cote équitable
EV +7.46%
Avantage +3.80%
Kelly +7.77%
Croissance +0.579%

avec la cote maximale 1.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.15%54.30%54.74%58.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.731.721.9663.69%57.71%58.14%51.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -17.78%E -9.77%K -21.68%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV +7.46%E +3.80%K +7.77%G +0.579%6.0%2026-04-22 13:44
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -16.42%E -8.88%K -19.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV +4.71%E +2.47%K +5.18%G +0.244%6.4%2026-04-22 13:44
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -13.26%E -6.91%K -14.42%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV +3.62%E +1.91%K +4.06%G +0.147%5.0%2026-04-22 13:44
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -11.91%E -6.11%K -12.53%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV +1.97%E +1.06%K +2.29%G +0.045%5.0%2026-04-22 13:44
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -12.36%E -6.37%K -13.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +1.42%E +0.770%K +1.68%G +0.024%5.6%2026-04-22 13:44
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -12.36%E -6.37%K -13.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +1.42%E +0.770%K +1.68%G +0.024%5.6%2026-04-22 13:44
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -16.42%E -8.88%K -19.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV +1.42%E +0.770%K +1.68%G +0.024%8.1%2026-04-22 13:44
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -15.97%E -8.59%K -18.57%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV +0.877%E +0.476%K +1.04%G +0.009%8.1%2026-04-22 13:44
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -13.26%E -6.91%K -14.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV +0.328%E +0.179%K +0.396%G +0.001%6.7%2026-04-22 13:44
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -13.26%E -6.91%K -14.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV +0.328%E +0.179%K +0.396%G +0.001%6.7%2026-04-22 13:44
Bally Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -13.26%E -6.91%K -14.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV +0.328%E +0.179%K +0.396%G +0.001%6.7%2026-04-22 13:44
LeoVegas1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -14.62%E -7.73%K -16.42%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -0.768%E -0.424%K -0.948%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.65%E -4.82%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.32%E -0.731%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 13:44
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -13.71%E -7.18%K -15.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -1.32%E -0.731%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 13:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -15.07%E -8.02%K -17.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -1.32%E -0.731%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 13:44
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -13.71%E -7.18%K -15.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -2.96%E -1.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 13:44
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.03%E -2.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.06%E -2.32%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 13:45
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.03%E -2.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.06%E -2.32%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 13:45
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.03%E -2.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.06%E -2.32%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 13:45
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.03%E -2.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.06%E -2.32%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 13:45
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.65%E -4.82%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.06%E -2.32%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 13:44
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.61%E -2.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 13:44
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -6.94%E -3.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 13:45
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.39%E -3.60%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.65%E -4.82%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 13:44
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.65%E -4.82%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 13:44
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.39%E -3.60%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.70%E -3.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 13:45
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.39%E -3.60%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.70%E -3.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 13:45
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.39%E -3.60%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.70%E -3.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 13:45
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.25%E -3.66%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 13:45
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV +2.10%E +0.928%K +1.66%G +0.035%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -6.80%E -4.00%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-22 13:35
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.80%E -4.00%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 13:45
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.80%E -4.00%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 13:45
NordicBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -1.07%E -0.486%K -0.895%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -7.35%E -4.35%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 13:45
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.87%E -1.34%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.35%E -4.35%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 13:44
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -9.65%E -4.82%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -7.35%E -4.35%K -10.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 13:45
Bet Right2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.52%E -0.696%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.90%E -4.70%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 13:24
Unibet (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.52%E -0.696%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.90%E -4.70%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 13:04
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +3.90%E +1.70%K +3.00%G +0.117%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -8.44%E -5.06%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-22 13:38
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +3.90%E +1.70%K +3.00%G +0.117%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -8.44%E -5.06%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-22 13:39
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.613%E -0.279%K -0.511%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.44%E -5.06%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 13:44
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.613%E -0.279%K -0.511%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.44%E -5.06%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 13:04
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.87%E -1.34%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.44%E -5.06%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 13:24
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.44%E -5.06%K -12.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 13:45
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.44%E -5.06%K -12.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 13:45
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.39%E -3.60%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.44%E -5.06%K -12.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 13:45
PMU (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -11.46%E -5.84%K -11.93%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -8.99%E -5.42%K -13.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 13:45
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -11.46%E -5.84%K -11.93%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -8.99%E -5.42%K -13.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 13:45
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +3.90%E +1.70%K +3.00%G +0.117%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -9.54%E -5.78%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 13:43
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -0.613%E -0.279%K -0.511%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.54%E -5.78%K -14.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 13:37
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -0.613%E -0.279%K -0.511%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.54%E -5.78%K -14.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.54%E -5.78%K -14.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 13:04
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.54%E -5.78%K -14.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 13:05
SportsBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +3.00%E +1.32%K +2.34%G +0.070%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -10.64%E -6.53%K -16.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 13:38
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV +5.26%E +2.26%K +3.95%G +0.208%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -11.18%E -6.90%K -18.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 13:30
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -0.613%E -0.279%K -0.511%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -13.93%E -8.87%K -24.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 13:38
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-04-22 13:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-04-22 13:45
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-04-22 13:45
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87%1.3%2026-04-22 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%6.4%2026-04-22 13:45
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.91%9.1%2026-04-22 13:45