La escuela de los momios

Yulia Putintseva v Tereza Valentova

Inicio: 2026-04-22 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Yulia Putintseva (Local)

Predicción 45.18%2.21momio equitativo
EV +5.26%
Ventaja +2.26%
Kelly +3.95%
Crecimiento +0.208%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.01%45.70%45.26%51.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.822.062.072.3354.95%48.51%48.31%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Tereza Valentova (Visitante)

Predicción 54.82%1.82momio equitativo
EV +7.46%
Ventaja +3.80%
Kelly +7.77%
Crecimiento +0.579%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.15%54.30%54.74%58.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.731.721.9663.69%57.71%58.14%51.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
DraftKings1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -17.78%E -9.77%K -21.68%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV +7.46%E +3.80%K +7.77%G +0.579%6.0%2026-04-22 13:44
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -16.42%E -8.88%K -19.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV +4.71%E +2.47%K +5.18%G +0.244%6.4%2026-04-22 13:44
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -13.26%E -6.91%K -14.42%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV +3.62%E +1.91%K +4.06%G +0.147%5.0%2026-04-22 13:44
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -11.91%E -6.11%K -12.53%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV +1.97%E +1.06%K +2.29%G +0.045%5.0%2026-04-22 13:44
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -12.36%E -6.37%K -13.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +1.42%E +0.770%K +1.68%G +0.024%5.6%2026-04-22 13:44
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -12.36%E -6.37%K -13.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV +1.42%E +0.770%K +1.68%G +0.024%5.6%2026-04-22 13:44
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -16.42%E -8.88%K -19.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV +1.42%E +0.770%K +1.68%G +0.024%8.1%2026-04-22 13:44
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -15.97%E -8.59%K -18.57%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV +0.877%E +0.476%K +1.04%G +0.009%8.1%2026-04-22 13:44
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -13.26%E -6.91%K -14.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV +0.328%E +0.179%K +0.396%G +0.001%6.7%2026-04-22 13:44
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -13.26%E -6.91%K -14.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV +0.328%E +0.179%K +0.396%G +0.001%6.7%2026-04-22 13:44
Bally Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -13.26%E -6.91%K -14.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV +0.328%E +0.179%K +0.396%G +0.001%6.7%2026-04-22 13:44
LeoVegas1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -14.62%E -7.73%K -16.42%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -0.768%E -0.424%K -0.948%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.65%E -4.82%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.32%E -0.731%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 13:44
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -13.71%E -7.18%K -15.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -1.32%E -0.731%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 13:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -15.07%E -8.02%K -17.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -1.32%E -0.731%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 13:44
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -13.71%E -7.18%K -15.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -2.96%E -1.67%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 13:44
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.03%E -2.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.06%E -2.32%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 13:45
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.03%E -2.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.06%E -2.32%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 13:45
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.03%E -2.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.06%E -2.32%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 13:45
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.03%E -2.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.06%E -2.32%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 13:45
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.65%E -4.82%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.06%E -2.32%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 13:44
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.61%E -2.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 13:44
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -6.94%E -3.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 13:45
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.39%E -3.60%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.65%E -4.82%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 13:44
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.65%E -4.82%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 13:44
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.39%E -3.60%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.70%E -3.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 13:45
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.39%E -3.60%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.70%E -3.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 13:45
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.39%E -3.60%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.70%E -3.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 13:45
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.25%E -3.66%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 13:45
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV +2.10%E +0.928%K +1.66%G +0.035%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -6.80%E -4.00%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-22 13:35
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.80%E -4.00%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 13:45
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.80%E -4.00%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 13:45
NordicBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -1.07%E -0.486%K -0.895%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -7.35%E -4.35%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 13:45
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.87%E -1.34%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.35%E -4.35%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 13:44
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -9.65%E -4.82%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -7.35%E -4.35%K -10.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 13:45
Bet Right2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.52%E -0.696%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.90%E -4.70%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 13:24
Unibet (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.52%E -0.696%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.90%E -4.70%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 13:04
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +3.90%E +1.70%K +3.00%G +0.117%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -8.44%E -5.06%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-22 13:38
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +3.90%E +1.70%K +3.00%G +0.117%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -8.44%E -5.06%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-22 13:39
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.613%E -0.279%K -0.511%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.44%E -5.06%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 13:44
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.613%E -0.279%K -0.511%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.44%E -5.06%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 13:04
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.87%E -1.34%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.44%E -5.06%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 13:24
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.44%E -5.06%K -12.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 13:45
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.44%E -5.06%K -12.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 13:45
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.39%E -3.60%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.44%E -5.06%K -12.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 13:45
PMU (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -11.46%E -5.84%K -11.93%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -8.99%E -5.42%K -13.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 13:45
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -11.46%E -5.84%K -11.93%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -8.99%E -5.42%K -13.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 13:45
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +3.90%E +1.70%K +3.00%G +0.117%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -9.54%E -5.78%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 13:43
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -0.613%E -0.279%K -0.511%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.54%E -5.78%K -14.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 13:37
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -0.613%E -0.279%K -0.511%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.54%E -5.78%K -14.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.54%E -5.78%K -14.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 13:04
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.54%E -5.78%K -14.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 13:05
SportsBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +3.00%E +1.32%K +2.34%G +0.070%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -10.64%E -6.53%K -16.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 13:38
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV +5.26%E +2.26%K +3.95%G +0.208%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -11.18%E -6.90%K -18.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 13:30
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -0.613%E -0.279%K -0.511%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -13.93%E -8.87%K -24.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 13:38
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-04-22 13:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-04-22 13:45
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-04-22 13:45
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87%1.3%2026-04-22 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%6.4%2026-04-22 13:45
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.91%9.1%2026-04-22 13:45