Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yulia Putintseva v Marta Kostyuk

Kickoff: 2026-04-24 13:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yulia Putintseva (Local)

Prediction 23.76%4.21fair odd
EV +4.53%
Edge +1.03%
Kelly +1.33%
Growth +0.060%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.99%23.79%23.81%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.953.924.4027.78%25.31%25.48%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Marta Kostyuk (Visit)

Prediction 76.24%1.31fair odd
EV -3.17%
Edge -2.50%
Kelly -11.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.23%76.21%76.19%78.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.251.251.2783.33%80.18%80.00%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yulia Putintseva (Local): 23.76%; Marta Kostyuk (Visit): 76.24%. For Yulia Putintseva (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.21. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.53%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Winamax (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +4.53%E +1.03%K +1.33%G +0.060%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -5.46%E -4.40%K -22.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-24 00:29
BetUS🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.221%E -0.053%K -0.069%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.46%E -4.40%K -22.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 21:09
SportsBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -0.221%E -0.053%K -0.069%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.22%E -5.06%K -27.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 00:29
Winamax (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.221%E -0.053%K -0.069%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.98%E -5.72%K -31.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 00:29
Coolbet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -2.60%E -0.633%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.17%E -2.50%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 00:30
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -2.60%E -0.633%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.22%E -5.06%K -27.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 00:29
Pinnacle🎯4.09I 24.45%NM 23.69%EV -2.83%E -0.693%K -0.917%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.31%EV -3.17%E -2.50%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 00:24
1xBet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV -3.78%E -0.935%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.13%EV -3.17%E -2.50%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-24 00:34
LowVig.ag🎯4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -4.02%E -0.996%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -3.93%E -3.12%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 20:15
BetOnline.ag🎯4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -4.02%E -0.996%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -3.93%E -3.12%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 20:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.17%E -2.50%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-23 09:00
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.70%E -3.76%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:00
Bet Right🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.70%E -3.76%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:05
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.70%E -3.76%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 20:59
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.70%E -3.76%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 07:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.70%E -3.76%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 07:55
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.70%E -3.76%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 07:55
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.70%E -3.76%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 00:34
NordicBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.70%E -3.76%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 00:30
Betsson🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.70%E -3.76%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 00:29
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.70%E -3.76%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 15:24
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.46%E -4.40%K -22.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 02:35
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.98%E -5.72%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 00:30
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.98%E -5.72%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 10:44
Caesars🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.98%E -5.72%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:35
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.51%E -7.09%K -42.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 10:49
Everygame🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.51%E -7.09%K -42.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 14:54
Unibet (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.16%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.46%E -4.40%K -22.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 00:30
DraftKings🎯3.94I 25.38%NM 24.23%EV -6.40%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.77%EV -3.93%E -3.12%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 21:00
GTbets🎯3.91I 25.58%NM 24.22%EV -7.11%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.78%EV -4.70%E -3.76%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 11:00
Bovada🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.35%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.17%E -2.50%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-24 00:49
Casumo🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.35%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.93%E -3.12%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.35%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.93%E -3.12%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.35%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.93%E -3.12%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:00
BetRivers🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.35%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.93%E -3.12%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 08:59
TABtouch🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.35%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.93%E -3.12%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:00
LeoVegas🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.35%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.93%E -3.12%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.35%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.93%E -3.12%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 08:55
Grosvenor🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.35%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.93%E -3.12%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 08:55
Unibet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.35%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.93%E -3.12%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.35%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.93%E -3.12%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:00
betPARX🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.35%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.93%E -3.12%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 08:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.35%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.93%E -3.12%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:00
Bally Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.35%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.93%E -3.12%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.35%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.70%E -3.76%K -18.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 14:00
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.35%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.46%E -4.40%K -22.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 00:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.35%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.98%E -5.72%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 00:25
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.35%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.98%E -5.72%K -31.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 00:25
Betr (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.54%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.70%E -3.76%K -18.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 00:39
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.54%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.70%E -3.76%K -18.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 20:55
ReBet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -8.54%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -6.22%E -5.06%K -27.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 00:35
PMU (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.72%E -2.56%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.70%E -3.76%K -18.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 10:35
TAB🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.72%E -2.56%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.46%E -4.40%K -22.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.91%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.70%E -3.76%K -18.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 09:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.91%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.70%E -3.76%K -18.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 08:55
Neds🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -10.91%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.46%E -4.40%K -22.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 00:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -10.91%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.46%E -4.40%K -22.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 00:29
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.48%E -4.02%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.70%E -3.76%K -18.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 00:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20%2.0%2026-04-23 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20%2.0%2026-04-23 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20%2.0%2026-04-23 23:00
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20%2.0%2026-04-24 01:20
Novig4.24I 23.58%NM 22.91%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.09%2.9%2026-04-24 03:20
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%3.8%2026-04-24 01:05