Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Whitney Osuigwe v Simona Waltert

Kickoff: 2026-04-07 08:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

30%

70%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Whitney Osuigwe (Local)

Prediction 29.67%3.37fair odd

EV +3.85%

Edge +1.10%

Kelly +1.54%

Growth +0.059%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.69%29.67%29.67%29.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.203.353.353.5031.25%29.85%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Simona Waltert (Visit)

Prediction 70.33%1.42fair odd

EV -5.05%

Edge -3.74%

Kelly -14.44%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

70.33%70.33%70.33%72.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.341.351.351.3574.63%74.35%74.35%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Whitney Osuigwe (Local): 29.67%; Simona Waltert (Visit): 70.33%. For Whitney Osuigwe (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.85%.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +3.85%E +1.10%K +1.54%G +0.059%	1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -5.76%E -4.30%K -16.94%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-04-06 00:10
Betway🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.05%E -1.58%K -2.30%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.05%E -3.74%K -14.44%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-05 17:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.