L’École des cotes

Talia Gibson v Emiliana Arango

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-22 13:36 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Talia Gibson (Local)

Prévision 50.61%1.98cote équitable
EV +16.40%
Avantage +7.13%
Kelly +12.62%
Croissance +2.07%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.57%49.87%51.47%54.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.711.871.822.3058.48%53.59%54.95%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Emiliana Arango (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.39%2.02cote équitable
EV +4.71%
Avantage +2.22%
Kelly +4.20%
Croissance +0.198%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.08%50.13%48.53%59.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.901.942.1263.69%52.65%51.55%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +16.40%E +7.13%K +12.62%G +2.07%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -22.46%E -14.30%K -39.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 13:33
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +6.28%E +2.99%K +5.71%G +0.359%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -12.58%E -7.11%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 13:33
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +6.28%E +2.99%K +5.71%G +0.359%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -14.56%E -8.41%K -19.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 13:34
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +6.28%E +2.99%K +5.71%G +0.359%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -17.52%E -10.49%K -26.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 13:34
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +3.75%E +1.83%K +3.57%G +0.134%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -12.58%E -7.11%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 13:34
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +3.75%E +1.83%K +3.57%G +0.134%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -16.04%E -9.43%K -22.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 13:34
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +3.25%E +1.59%K +3.12%G +0.101%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -12.09%E -6.79%K -15.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 13:35
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV +2.23%E +1.11%K +2.19%G +0.049%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -11.10%E -6.17%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 13:34
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV +1.22%E +0.611%K +1.22%G +0.015%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -13.57%E -7.75%K -18.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 13:34
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV +1.22%E +0.611%K +1.22%G +0.015%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -13.57%E -7.75%K -18.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 13:34
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV +1.22%E +0.611%K +1.22%G +0.015%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -14.06%E -8.08%K -19.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 13:34
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -0.297%E -0.151%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -9.62%E -5.26%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 13:34
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -0.297%E -0.151%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -9.62%E -5.26%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 13:34
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.31%E -0.671%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -11.10%E -6.17%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 13:34
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -1.31%E -0.671%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -15.54%E -9.09%K -21.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 13:35
Bally Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -1.82%E -0.936%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -11.10%E -6.17%K -13.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 13:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.97%EV -2.83%E -1.47%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -12.58%E -7.11%K -16.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 13:34
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.33%E -1.75%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 13:04
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.33%E -1.75%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.64%E -4.09%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 13:34
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.33%E -1.75%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.62%E -5.26%K -11.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 13:34
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -5.86%E -3.15%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV +0.260%E +0.128%K +0.253%G +0.001%3.0%2026-04-22 13:05
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.22%E -0.611%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 13:05
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.21%E -1.12%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 13:04
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.21%E -1.12%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 13:05
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 13:34
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.63%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 13:34
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.21%E -1.12%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 13:04
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.21%E -1.12%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 13:04
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 13:01
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -7.89%E -4.33%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -2.70%E -1.37%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 13:35
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -7.89%E -4.33%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -2.70%E -1.37%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 13:34
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -7.89%E -4.33%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -2.70%E -1.37%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 13:35
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -7.89%E -4.33%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -2.70%E -1.37%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 13:34
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.89%E -4.33%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 13:05
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.44%EV -7.89%E -4.33%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.56%EV -12.09%E -6.79%K -15.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 13:34
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -8.90%E -4.94%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -0.234%E -0.116%K -0.229%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 13:28
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.90%E -4.94%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.22%E -0.611%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 13:04
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -8.90%E -4.94%K -11.13%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -2.21%E -1.12%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 13:30
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.90%E -4.94%K -11.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 13:35
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.90%E -4.94%K -11.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 13:35
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.90%E -4.94%K -11.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 13:35
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.90%E -4.94%K -11.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 13:35
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.90%E -4.94%K -11.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 13:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -8.90%E -4.94%K -11.13%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -5.17%E -2.69%K -5.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 13:04
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -8.90%E -4.94%K -11.13%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -5.17%E -2.69%K -5.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 13:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.90%E -4.94%K -11.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 13:35
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -9.41%E -5.26%K -11.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 13:34
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -9.41%E -5.26%K -11.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -4.18%E -2.16%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 13:35
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -9.91%E -5.57%K -12.71%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -4.18%E -2.16%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 13:35
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -9.91%E -5.57%K -12.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 13:24
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -10.42%E -5.89%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -1.22%E -0.611%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 13:34
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -10.42%E -5.89%K -13.53%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -4.68%E -2.42%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 13:34
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -11.43%E -6.53%K -15.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +3.72%E +1.77%K +3.38%G +0.126%4.8%2026-04-22 13:30
DraftKings1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -11.43%E -6.53%K -15.24%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV +1.74%E +0.846%K +1.64%G +0.029%5.7%2026-04-22 13:34
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -11.43%E -6.53%K -15.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -1.22%E -0.611%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 13:04
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -11.43%E -6.53%K -15.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 13:28
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -11.94%E -6.86%K -16.13%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +4.71%E +2.22%K +4.20%G +0.198%4.6%2026-04-22 13:20
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.44%E -7.19%K -17.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -1.22%E -0.611%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 13:30
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.44%E -7.19%K -17.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -1.22%E -0.611%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 13:30
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.22%EV -12.95%E -7.53%K -17.99%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.78%EV -7.15%E -3.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 13:35
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -13.46%E -7.87%K -18.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 13:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-04-22 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-04-22 13:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-04-22 13:34
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%1.3%2026-04-22 13:34
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%3.1%2026-04-22 13:35
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%3.1%2026-04-22 13:30