La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Talia Gibson v Emiliana Arango
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Talia Gibson (Local)
Predicción 50.61%1.98momio equitativo
EV +16.40%
Ventaja +7.13%
Kelly +12.62%
Crecimiento +2.07%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.57%49.87%51.47%54.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.711.871.822.3058.48%53.59%54.95%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Emiliana Arango (Visitante)
Predicción 49.39%2.02momio equitativo
EV +4.71%
Ventaja +2.22%
Kelly +4.20%
Crecimiento +0.198%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.08%50.13%48.53%59.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.901.942.1263.69%52.65%51.55%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +16.40%E +7.13%K +12.62%G +2.07% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -22.46%E -14.30%K -39.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 13:33 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +6.28%E +2.99%K +5.71%G +0.359% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -12.58%E -7.11%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-22 13:33 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +6.28%E +2.99%K +5.71%G +0.359% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -14.56%E -8.41%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 13:34 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +6.28%E +2.99%K +5.71%G +0.359% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -17.52%E -10.49%K -26.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 13:34 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +3.75%E +1.83%K +3.57%G +0.134% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -12.58%E -7.11%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 13:34 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +3.75%E +1.83%K +3.57%G +0.134% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -16.04%E -9.43%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 13:34 |
| Unibet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +3.25%E +1.59%K +3.12%G +0.101% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -12.09%E -6.79%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 13:35 |
| Coolbet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV +2.23%E +1.11%K +2.19%G +0.049% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -11.10%E -6.17%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 13:34 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV +1.22%E +0.611%K +1.22%G +0.015% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -13.57%E -7.75%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 13:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV +1.22%E +0.611%K +1.22%G +0.015% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -13.57%E -7.75%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 13:34 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV +1.22%E +0.611%K +1.22%G +0.015% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -14.06%E -8.08%K -19.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 13:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -0.297%E -0.151%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -9.62%E -5.26%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 13:34 |
| betPARX | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -0.297%E -0.151%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -9.62%E -5.26%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 13:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.31%E -0.671%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -11.10%E -6.17%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 13:34 |
| Fliff | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -1.31%E -0.671%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -15.54%E -9.09%K -21.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-22 13:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -1.82%E -0.936%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -11.10%E -6.17%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 13:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.97%EV -2.83%E -1.47%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -12.58%E -7.11%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 13:34 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.33%E -1.75%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 13:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.33%E -1.75%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.64%E -4.09%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 13:34 |
| Caesars | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.33%E -1.75%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.62%E -5.26%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 13:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -5.86%E -3.15%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV +0.260%E +0.128%K +0.253%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-04-22 13:05 |
| GTbets | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.22%E -0.611%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-22 13:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.21%E -1.12%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 13:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.21%E -1.12%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 13:05 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 13:34 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.63%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 13:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.21%E -1.12%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 13:04 |
| ReBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.21%E -1.12%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 13:04 |
| BetUS | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 13:01 |
| Casumo | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -7.89%E -4.33%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -2.70%E -1.37%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-22 13:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -7.89%E -4.33%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -2.70%E -1.37%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-22 13:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -7.89%E -4.33%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -2.70%E -1.37%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-22 13:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -7.89%E -4.33%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -2.70%E -1.37%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-22 13:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.89%E -4.33%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 13:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.44%EV -7.89%E -4.33%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.56%EV -12.09%E -6.79%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-22 13:34 |
| Bet Right | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -8.90%E -4.94%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -0.234%E -0.116%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 13:28 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.90%E -4.94%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.22%E -0.611%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 13:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -8.90%E -4.94%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -2.21%E -1.12%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 13:30 |
| Betsson | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.90%E -4.94%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 13:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.90%E -4.94%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 13:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.90%E -4.94%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 13:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.90%E -4.94%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 13:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.90%E -4.94%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -8.90%E -4.94%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -5.17%E -2.69%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 13:04 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -8.90%E -4.94%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -5.17%E -2.69%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.90%E -4.94%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.67%E -2.97%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -9.41%E -5.26%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 13:34 |
| Grosvenor | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -9.41%E -5.26%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -4.18%E -2.16%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 13:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -9.91%E -5.57%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -4.18%E -2.16%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 13:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -9.91%E -5.57%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 13:24 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -10.42%E -5.89%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -1.22%E -0.611%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 13:34 |
| LeoVegas | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -10.42%E -5.89%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -4.68%E -2.42%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 13:34 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -11.43%E -6.53%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +3.72%E +1.77%K +3.38%G +0.126% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 13:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -11.43%E -6.53%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV +1.74%E +0.846%K +1.64%G +0.029% | 5.7% | 2026-04-22 13:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -11.43%E -6.53%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -1.22%E -0.611%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 13:04 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -11.43%E -6.53%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 13:28 |
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -11.94%E -6.86%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +4.71%E +2.22%K +4.20%G +0.198% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 13:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.44%E -7.19%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -1.22%E -0.611%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 13:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.44%E -7.19%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -1.22%E -0.611%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 13:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.22%EV -12.95%E -7.53%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.78%EV -7.15%E -3.80%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-22 13:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -13.46%E -7.87%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-22 13:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-04-22 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-04-22 13:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-04-22 13:34 |
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 1.3% | 2026-04-22 13:34 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44% | 3.1% | 2026-04-22 13:35 |
| Novig | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52% | 3.1% | 2026-04-22 13:30 |