Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.94
assuming max odds 3.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rebeka Masarova (Local): 61.91%; Rebecca Sramkova (Visit): 38.09%. For Rebeka Masarova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.62. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.94, corresponding to a positive expected value of +20.10%.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV +20.10%E +10.36%K +21.39%G +4.30% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -27.25%E -14.26%K -29.94%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-20 10:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +18.25%E +9.55%K +20.05%G +3.66% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -27.25%E -14.26%K -29.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-20 10:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +18.25%E +9.55%K +20.05%G +3.66% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -27.25%E -14.26%K -29.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-20 10:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV +18.25%E +9.55%K +20.05%G +3.66% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.34%EV -31.05%E -17.16%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-20 10:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV +17.63%E +9.28%K +19.58%G +3.45% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -28.77%E -15.38%K -33.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-20 10:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV +14.53%E +7.85%K +17.10%G +2.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -29.53%E -15.96%K -34.74%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-20 10:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV +13.29%E +7.26%K +16.02%G +2.13% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -30.29%E -16.55%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-20 10:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV +2.15%E +1.30%K +3.31%G +0.071% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -18.10%E -8.42%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-20 10:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV +0.292%E +0.180%K +0.471%G +0.001% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -16.20%E -7.36%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-20 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.58%E -3.58%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-20 10:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.34%E -3.93%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-20 10:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.34%E -3.93%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-20 10:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -12.09%E -8.51%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV +2.85%E +1.05%K +1.67%G +0.048% | 7.5% | 2026-04-20 10:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -12.09%E -8.51%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV +2.85%E +1.05%K +1.67%G +0.048% | 7.5% | 2026-04-20 10:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -14.57%E -10.56%K -38.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +14.27%E +4.76%K +7.14%G +1.02% | 5.8% | 2026-04-20 10:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -15.80%E -11.62%K -43.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +14.27%E +4.76%K +7.14%G +1.02% | 6.9% | 2026-04-20 10:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -15.80%E -11.62%K -43.90%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV +9.70%E +3.37%K +5.16%G +0.501% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 10:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65% | 5.3% | 2026-04-20 10:35 |