Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.62
assuming max odds 2.62
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panna Udvardy (Local): 61.97%; Tyra Caterina Grant (Visit): 38.03%. For Panna Udvardy (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.61. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.385%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV +0.385%E +0.237%K +0.620%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -16.32%E -7.42%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 11:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.40%EV -0.855%E -0.534%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60%EV -7.20%E -2.95%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-21 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.40%EV -0.855%E -0.534%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60%EV -7.20%E -2.95%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-21 11:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -2.09%E -1.33%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 11:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -2.09%E -1.33%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -10.62%E -4.52%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 11:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.72%E -3.63%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -3.95%E -2.55%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -9.86%E -4.16%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 11:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.19%E -3.39%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -10.62%E -4.52%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.81%E -3.82%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 11:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.05%E -4.70%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.91%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 11:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.05%E -4.70%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.91%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 11:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -8.29%E -5.60%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -3.01%E -1.18%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 11:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.29%E -5.60%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -4.91%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 11:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.13%EV -9.53%E -6.53%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -4.91%E -1.97%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 11:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -10.15%E -7.00%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.82%E -2.78%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-21 11:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -10.77%E -7.48%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -0.350%E -0.134%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 11:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-04-21 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-04-21 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 0.6% | 2026-04-21 11:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97% | 1.7% | 2026-04-21 11:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.18% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.82% | 8.7% | 2026-04-21 11:45 |